NFL Picks Week 2: 49ers, Packers Face Big Home Tests

PHILADELPHIA, PA - AUGUST 11: Michael Vick #7 of the Philadelphia Eagles gets a block against Jarret Johnson #95 of the Baltimore Ravens from teammate Jason Peters #71 during their pre season game on August 11, 2011 at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)

The NFL gets underway early again this week as the Packers host the Bears at Lambeau Field as they try to avoid a disastrous 0-2 start to the season

The NFL gets underway early again this week as the Packers host the Bears at Lambeau Field as they try to avoid a disastrous 0-2 start to the season. Looking ahead to Sunday, we've got big matchups between the Lions & 49ers, Eagles & Ravens and Jets & Steelers.

Here are our week 2 NFL picks against the spread.

Chicago @ Green Bay (-5.5) - I like Green Bay to win, but all the trends and simulations favor Chicago to cover the 5 points. Pick: Packers

Kansas City @ Buffalo (-3.5) - Same as above, simulations favor Buffalo to win, but historically teams like the Chiefs have covered nearly 60% of time in this situation. Pick: Bills

Cleveland @ Cincinatti (-7) -This is a tough one. Bengals should win, but the trends are somewhat split on whether Cleveland can cover. Can't say as though I have much confidence in the Browns though. Pick: Bengals

Minnesota @ Indianapolis (+1) - Always tough when you see two bad teams playing each other because anything could happen. Its also rough because we have two dome teams so a lot of the trends are mitigated. Simulations & trends slightly favor the Vikings. Pick: Vikings

Oakland @ Miami (+1) - Like above, another razor close game according to the Accuscore simulator. After 10,000 simulations, it has Oakland winning by an average of 1.8 points. Pick: Raiders

Arizona @ New England (-13.5) - The Patriots will obviously win this game, but going against the spread is very tricky. It's a huge number and in fact, only 2 games in recent years have ever even had this line. That said, the favorite covered both times. Pick: Patriots

Tampa Bay @ New York (-9) -Another really big line, but this I'm going the other way. The Giants win, but the trends say Tampa covers. Pick: Buccaneers

Baltimore @ Philadelphia (-1) - The one we've all be waiting for. Surprisingly, things really favor the Eagles here. 10,000 simulations have the Eagles winning by an average of 3 points. Also, the home team has covered nearly 60% of the time in this situation. Pick: Eagles

New Orleans @ Carolina (+1) - After unimpressive starts by both teams, this is a tricky game on its face. However, according to the trends its really not. Teams like the Saints have covered 80% of the team in games like this. Pick: Saints

Houston @ Jacksonville (+7.5) - Houston should win this game, but anytime you see a home team as a more than touchdown dog should be a rise for concern. Against a similar spread, teams like the Jags have covered almost 80% of the time here. Pick: Jaguars

Washington @ St. Louis (+3) - The simulator likes the Redskins to win here, but the trends almost all favor the Rams to cover at home. Pick: Rams

Dallas @ Seattle (+3) - Same line as above, but this one seems a bit less tricky. The simulator does like Dallas to win, but literally all the trends points to a Seattle cover.

New York Jets @ Pittsburgh (-5.5) - The Jets got off to a great start last week, but look for the Steelers to win and cover in this one. Pick: Steelers

Tennessee @ San Diego (-6) - This is a very tricky line as the trends are split right down the middle. But if we use the simulator as a tiebreak, look for Tennessee to cover. Pick: Titans

Detroit @ San Francisco (-7) - We've got a classic high powered offense vs a great defense, but all the trends and simulations say go with the defense. Pick: 49ers

Denver @ Atlanta (-3) - I was very surprised by what the trends had to say here, because my initial instincts pointed to an Atlanta win. However, the trends strongly favor Denver to cover. In fact, in 21 recent games with this spread, the road team has covered 70% of the time. Pick: Denver

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