NHL Power Rankings Week 24: Playoff Probabilities Are Here

Looking at last week's results? The standings? Nah, if you want to know how good the teams are, dig deeper.

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NHL Power Rankings Week 24: Playoff Probabilities Are Here

This week,the playoff picture starts taking shape. Teams have clinched, others have been eliminated, and others are close. Biggest winners are San Jose and Nashville.

 

Eastern Conference

This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Bruins_medium 1 1 The Bruins have clinched and are 70% likely to end in 3rd place.
1.769
Flyers_medium 2 2 Philadelphia is now 84% likely to win the East after beating Pittsburgh on Tuesday.
1.615
Capitals_medium 3 3 The Capitals are 63% likely to finish in 2nd place.
1.345
Penguins_medium 4
4
Pittsburgh clinched a playoff spot and are hoping Sidney Crosby can return for the playoffs.
1.271
Sabres_medium 5
6
The Sabres move up a spot here despite remaining in 8th place. However, they are 74% likely to make the playoffs.
1.189
Rangers_medium 6
7
New York is in 7th right now, but they are more likely to finish 6th due to their game in hand and tie-breaker advantage.
1.175
Canadiens_medium 7
5
The Canadiens are slipping, in jeopardy of falling into 7th place.
1.173
Lightning_medium 8
8
Tampa Bay is only 2 points away from clinching a playoff spot, but they still have a negative goal differential.
1.110
Hurricanes_medium 9
9
The Hurricanes are now 3 points out with only 6 games to play, leaving them only 28% likely to make the playoffs.
0.952
Maple_leafs_medium 10
10
Toronto is 5 points out with 5 games left, leaving them with only a 1% chance of making the playoffs.
0.928
Thrashers_medium 11
11
The Thrashers are clinging to a less than 1% chance of the playoffs even though they are .500
0.813
Panthers_medium 12
13
Florida has already been eliminated, despite playing well through half the year.
0.754
Devils_medium 13
14
The Devils still have yet to be eliminated, but they will be very soon.
0.719
Islanders_medium 14 12 New York is eliminated.
0.695
Senators_medium 15 15 The Senators are eliminated.
0.609

 

Western Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Canucks_medium 1 1 The Canucks are all but locks for the Presidents' Trophy.
1.793
Coyotes_medium 2 2 Phoenix has a 50% chance of finishing 4th or 5th, but unfortunately, they're 28% likely to miss home ice advantage.
1.350
Sharks_medium 3
5
The Sharks are in third, one point behind Detroit, but also trailing in the tiebreaker.
1.332
Red_wings_medium 4
4
Detroit is 59% likely to finish 2nd, but San Jose is right behind them.
1.311
Predators_medium 5
7
The Predators sit in 6th, just as likely to finish 7th.
1.296
Blackhawks_medium 6
3
Chicago plummets here but they still have a 76% chance of making the playoffs. Where they finish is still a guess.
1.286
Kings_medium 7
7
The Kings sit in 5th place with a 39% chance of finishing 4th.
1.230
Stars_medium 8
8
Dallas is only 3 points back with a game in hand, but they only have a 35% chance to make the playoffs.
1.126
Flames_medium 9
9
The Flames are only 12% likely to make the playoffs as they are 3 points out with one fewer game to play.
1.074
Ducks_medium 10
10
Anaheim is in 7th with an 87% chance to make the playoffs despite a minus-2 goal differential.
1.019
Blues_medium 11
13
The Blues move up here despite being eliminated from the playoffs.
0.925
Blue_jackets_medium 12
12
Columbus is eleven points out with 6 games to play. They're done.
0.896
Wild_medium 13
12
The Wild are ten points out with 6 games to play. They're done.
0.861
Avalanche_medium 14
14
Colorado is officially eliminated.
0.692
Oilers_medium 15 15 The Oilers are officially eliminated.
0.550

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NHL Power Rankings Week 23: The Playoff Puzzle is Being Put Together

This week,the playoff picture starts taking shape. Teams have clinched, others have been eliminated, and others are close. Biggest winners are Phoenix and the Islanders, even though the Islanders are insignificant.

 

Eastern Conference

This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Bruins_medium 1 1 The Bruins have a three point lead with two games in hand in the NE Division, but they've only gotten 11 of a possible 20 points.
1.699
Flyers_medium 2 2 Philadelphia has already clinched a playoff spot, with a 5 point lead and a game in hand in the Atlantic Division.
1.567
Capitals_medium 3 4 The Capitals moved up a spot here while clinching a playoff spot. Getting 18 of 20 points is damn impressive.
1.343
Penguins_medium 4
3
Pittsburgh only needs 4 points to clinch a playoff spot, which will surely come this week.
1.331
Canadiens_medium 5
5
The Canadiens are in 6th place in the East, and they are 42% likely to wind up there.
1.249
Sabres_medium 6
6
Buffalo is only in 8th place, but they have a 76% chance of making the playoffs.
1.166
Rangers_medium 7
8
The Rangers are in 7th, 6 points up with one additional game played, but are 97% likely to make the playoffs.
1.150
Lightning_medium 8
7
Tampa Bay is still struggling in the power rankings, thanks to a minus-6 goal differential, but they only need 8 points to clinch.
1.069
Hurricanes_medium 9
9
The Hurricanes only have a 22% chance to sneak in, as they are 3 points behind 8th place.
0.963
Maple_leafs_medium 10
11
Toronto only has a 4% chance of making the playoffs, as they are 5 points out with one too many games played.
0.885
Thrashers_medium 11
10
The Thrashers are clinging to a spot above the Devils in the East, but they're done.
0.831
Islanders_medium 12
14
New York is the big mover this week, getting 5 of 6 points and 15 of their last 20.
0.785
Panthers_medium 13
12
The Panthers are only 5 points away from being eliminated. Just make it stop.
0.770
Devils_medium 14 13 New Jersey finally came back to Earth, only collecting 2 of 8 points. They are now 9 points out of the playoffs.
0.737
Senators_medium 15 15 The Senators are officially eliminated.
0.595

 

Western Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Canucks_medium 1 1 The Canucks have already clinched the Northwest. This happens when you are the only team in the division in the playoffs.
1.733
Coyotes_medium 2 4 Phoenix jumps up here thanks to getting 6 of 8 points and only giving up 5 goals in 4 games.
1.369
Blackhawks_medium 3
3
The Blackhawks have an 86% chance to make the playoffs, despite only being 2 points up on 9th place.
1.342
Red_wings_medium 4
2
Detroit only got 3 of a possible 8 points and dropped here, but they're still in 2nd in the West.
1.328
Sharks_medium 5
6
The Sharks are a near lock to make the playoffs, as they are 8 points up on 9th place.
1.275
Predators_medium 6
7
Nashville is clinging to 7th place as a result of playing one additional game.
1.274
Kings_medium 7
5
The Kings dropped here as a result of only getting 3 out of 6 points, and two of them coming from a shootout.
1.184
Stars_medium 8
8
Dallas only needs one point to jump over Anaheim, and they're only 2 points out of 5th.
1.176
Flames_medium 9
9
The Flames sit in 10th place, only two points out. But they have played 3 additional games, so they are a longshot.
1.084
Ducks_medium 10
12
Anaheim may currently occupy 8th place, but they but they are only one point up on Dallas.
1.023
Blue_jackets_medium 11
11
The Blue Jackets are ten points out with 9 games to play. They're essentially done.
0.930
Wild_medium 12
10
Minnesota plummets, as they are only 9 points away from being eliminated.
0.883
Blues_medium 13
13
The Blues are 6 points away from being eliminated, which should happen this week.
0.860
Avalanche_medium 14
14
Colorado is officially eliminated.
0.729
Oilers_medium 15 15 The Oilers are officially eliminated.
0.570

Continue

NHL Power Rankings Week 22: The Calm Before the Storm

This week, there was very little movement in the power rankings. Washington moves up a spot in the East while San Jose falls two in the West.

 

Eastern Conference

This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Bruins_medium 1 1 The Bruins got three points in three games, and remain in third place in the East with a league-best 1.43 five-on-five ratio.
1.762
Flyers_medium 2 2 Philadelphia blew a 3-0 third period lead, but still got 5 out of 6 possible points for the week. And remain in first place.
1.569
Penguins_medium 3 3 The Penguins are clinging to third place here, largely due to back-to-back 5-1 wins against Edmonton and Ottawa.
1.353
Capitals_medium 4
5
Washington earned all 8 possible points last week and even sat atop the East for about 20 minutes on Tuesday.
1.341
Canadiens_medium 5
4
The Canadiens only got 2 points out of 6 last week, but they had gotten 12 out of 14 prior to that.
1.238
Sabres_medium 6
6
Buffalo went 1-2-1 last week, losing one-goal games to Toronto and Carolina. Not who they want to lose to.
1.116
Lightning_medium 7
7
The Lightning are sitting in 5th place in the East, have gotten 6 out of 8 points, but still have a negative goal differential.
1.099
Rangers_medium 8
8
New York has a little breathing room now, up 4 points on 9th place Carolina who has a game in hand.
1.065
Hurricanes_medium 9
9
The Hurricanes helped their case last week by beating Buffalo, but are still two points back.
0.940
Thrashers_medium 10
11
Atlanta scored 5 goals in just over 20 minutes against the Flyers on their way to getting 5 out of 8 possible points.
0.861
Maple_leafs_medium 11
10
The Maple Leafs are 6 points back with 12 games to play, so their slim playoff hopes are probably done.
0.830
Panthers_medium 12
12
Florida lost to Ottawa, but beat the Lightning in OT. Don't know if that evens out, really.
0.784
Devils_medium 13
13
The Devils are 6 points out with a game in hand, but they have to jump over two teams to get there.
0.767
Islanders_medium 14 14 New York beat the Bruins last week. Good for them.
0.699
Senators_medium 15 15 The Senators went on the road and beat both Florida teams. Also, good for them.
0.572

 

Western Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Canucks_medium 1 1 The Canucks are probably going to win the President's Trophy. In fact, they are one point away from a Northwest Division crown.
1.694
Red_wings_medium 2 2 Detroit got 4 of 6 points last week, and now sit 6 points up in the Central.
1.371
Blackhawks_medium 3
3
The Blackhawks are in 6th place, 4 points up on 9th. Getting 4 of six points is good, but going 1-0-2 is only decent.
1.366
Coyotes_medium 4
5
Phoenix got all 6 points last week, but are only 5 points up on a playoff spot with one less game to play.
1.312
Kings_medium 5
6
The Kings got all 8 points last week, and only kept pace with the Coyotes.
1.248
Sharks_medium 6
4
San Jose only lost once in regulation last week and they are still atop the Pacific, but they fall here after only getting 4 of 8 points.
1.204
Predators_medium 7
9
The Predators are on the outside looking in, but with two games in hand on the Flames, they really aren't.
1.184
Stars_medium 8
9
Dallas is clinging to 7th place, and only getting 3 of 8 points isn't going the help.
1.122
Flames_medium 9
7
The Flames are technically in the playoffs, but with two additional games played on 9th place, they can't lose three in a row again.
1.085
Wild_medium 10
10
Minnesota got shutout twice last week and didn't register a single point. Still only 3 points behind Nashville, though.
0.986
Blue_jackets_medium 11
11
The Blue Jackets won their only road game last week, but that's all they won.
0.984
Ducks_medium 12
12
Anaheim may not look good here - or many other places - but they are only 2 points out with three games in hand.
0.957
Blues_medium 13
13
The Blues scored three goals in three straight games, only losing to Detroit.
0.874
Avalanche_medium 14
14
Colorado has now earned three points out of a possible twenty. Bad.
0.754
Oilers_medium 15 15 The Oilers only scored twice in their 3 games last week, getting blown out by Washington and Pittsburgh, but taking Detroit to OT.
0.606

Continue

NHL Power Rankings Week 21: Oilers and Islanders Try, Can't Shake The Rankings

This week, things seem to be settling down. Not as much movement this week as prior weeks, while the Bruins and Canucks are running away in their respective Conferences.

Oh, and the Oilers and Islanders combined to get 13 out of a possible 14 points last week. Odd.

 

Eastern Conference

This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Bruins_medium 1 1 The Bruins put distance between themselves and the Flyers despite getting 3 out of 6 points, largely due to the Flyers slump. 1.823
Flyers_medium 2 2 Philadelphia only got two points out of a possible eight last week, and those two game against the Oilers. Time to right the ship. 1.564
Penguins_medium 3 3 The Penguins won in regulation for the first time in over a month. Yet they are still within striking distance due to the Flyers slump. 1.298
Canadiens_medium 4
6
Montreal moved up this week thanks largely to scoring four goals in three straight games on their way to getting all six possible points.
1.262
Capitals_medium 5
4
The Capitals won all three games last week even though it took a shootout over Tampa. They're again on top of the Southeast Division.
1.257
Sabres_medium 6
7
Buffalo moved up despite only getting 5 out of 8 points. They now sit one point up on Carolina for 8th place in the Conference.
1.147
Lightning_medium 7
5
The Lightning fell here, as they only got 1 point out of a possible 8. Somehow, they are still in a virtual tie atop the Southeast Division.
1.108
Rangers_medium 8
8
New York spanked the Flyers 7-0, but their position in the East is still a precarious 7th.
1.094
Hurricanes_medium 9
9
The Hurricanes only played twice last week, and they needed overtime to beat the Sabres. Not how to move up in the standings.
0.944
Maple_leafs_medium 10
11
Toronto got 5 of 8 possible points, but are still four points out of the playoffs with one more game played.
0.850
Thrashers_medium 11
10
The Thrashers lost to Ottawa last week. Enough said.
0.836
Panthers_medium 12
12
Florida lost to the Thrashers last week. But Tomas Vokoun beat the Blackhawks, so... cool.
0.775
Devils_medium 13
13
The Devils are two games below .500, yet there is still talk of them making the playoffs. Just. Stop.
0.721
Islanders_medium 14 14 New York got 7 out of a possible 8 points last week. Impressive. 0.694
Senators_medium 15 15 The Senators beat both the Devils and Thrashers last week. Cool. 0.581

 

Western Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Canucks_medium 1 1 The Canucks are so far above the rest of the West, it's almost getting boring. Even with all their injuries. 1.732
Red_wings_medium 2 2 Detroit got two out of six points last week despite not winning a game. Thank you, Gary Bettman. 1.354
Blackhawks_medium 3
3
The Blackhawks got six of eight points and are now on the Red WIngs' trial. But they aren't likely to win the Central at this point.
1.343
Sharks_medium 4
5
San Jose got four of six points, but they lost to the Stars. Who desperately needed the points.
1.226
Coyotes_medium 5
4
The Coyotes got three points in three games, leaving them in 6th place. But they have two additional games played.
1.213
Kings_medium 6
6
Los Angeles also got three points in three games, but they're now in 8th place with a game in hand.
1.177
Flames_medium 7
7
The Flames are in the same position as Phoenix, but their seven shootout wins hurt them here.
1.165
Stars_medium 8
9
Dallas got 5 of 6 points last week, and are now two points up on 9th place with a game in hand. Didn't see that coming.
1.144
Predators_medium 9
8
The Predators got three out of six points on the road last week, leaving them one point out with an extra game played.
1.139
Wild_medium 10
10
Minnesota got 5 of 8 possible points, but they're only two points out with a game in hand on both Phoenix and Calgary.
1.075
Blue_jackets_medium 11
11
The Blue Jackets only got one point out of six last week. Sad, really.
0.995
Ducks_medium 12
12
Anaheim got four out of six points last week, and they somehow have games in hand. Only two points behind the Kings.
0.914
Blues_medium 13
13
The Blues lost to the Islanders 5-2 last week. Yup.
0.840
Avalanche_medium 14
14
Colorado was outscored 10-3 last week. By the Oilers and Wild.
0.786
Oilers_medium 15 15 The Oilers got all six points last week, winning all three games in regulation. And they only gave up four goals. Wow. 0.644

Continue

NHL Power Rankings Week 20: Beginning to See Teams Fall Out

This week, the middle of the East tightens up while the West begins to sift a few teams out. Surprisingly, the Stars rebounded while the Wild and Predators slid.

 

Eastern Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Bruins_medium 1 1
The Bruins maintain their position atop the Power Rankings this week thanks in no small part to getting all six possible points last week. A 3-1 win over Vancouver was particularly impressive
1.867
Flyers_medium
2
2
Philadelphia did not have their best week, needing overtime to beat the Islanders before falling to the Senators 4-1. They stay barely above Vancouver for second though.
1.734
 Penguins_medium
3
3
The Penguins are the closest to falling out of the top-3 they've been all season. Getting three points out of six isn't bad, but just treading water until they get healthy has finally let other teams catch them. Washington is only two points out of 4th place in the Conference.
1.266
Capitals_medium 4
4
Washington keeps inching up, and after a 6-0 loss to the Rangers, they were able to squeak by the Islanders twice.
1.211
Lightning_medium 5
6
The Lightning moved up another spot this week and are keeping their hold on the Southeast division lead strong. A three point lead with two games in hand gives them some breathing room.
1.201
Canadiens_medium 6
5
Montreal helped their own cause by beating the Thrashers and Hurricanes last week, putting them six points up on 8th place. Not a bad week.
1.152
Sabres_medium 7
7
The Sabres had a great week, notching 7 of a possible 8 points. They are still in 9th place in the conference, but they're only two points out with two games in hand. And they are tied in wins. You have to think the Hurricanes are already chasing them.
1.120
Rangers_medium 8
8
New York only got two of six possible points, putting themselves in a dangerous position. Only one point up on Carolina (who has a game in hand) and three points up on Buffalo (who has three games in hand) means their current 7th place standing is a mirage.
1.027
Hurricanes_medium 9
9
The Hurricanes seem to have let Buffalo pass them (only two points up with two more games played), but could knock the Rangers out of a spot.
0.965
Thrashers_medium 10
10
Atlanta continues to fall, as they are now 6 points out of the playoffs. Time to eulogize the Thrashers.
0.844
Maple_leafs_medium 11
12
The Maple Leafs move up a spot here, and they find themselves in 10th place in the East. And believe it or not, they have a better shot at making the playoffs than the Thrashers. Still won't happen though.
0.833
Panthers_medium 12
11
Florida dumped most of their moveable pieces at the deadline; they've only gotten 7 points in their last ten games, and two points in four games last week. Coincidence? Nah, it's the dust settling from the demolition.
0.794
Devils_medium 13
13
The Devils scored 3 goals in two games last week, and still managed to beat the Panthers. Anybody still dreaming of the playoffs?
0.686
Islanders_medium 14
14
New York faced the Capitals twice and the Flyers once, getting two points. Not bad for the Islanders.
0.618
Senators_medium
15 15
The Senators settled into the bottom spot on the power rankings rather nicely.
0.556

 

Western Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Canucks_medium
1 1
The Canucks continue to be the dominant team in the West. Not much else to say other than they are really good.
1.733
Red_wings_medium
2
2
Detroit is comfortably in the second spot in the West, which is making the top two in the West rather boring. Besides Edmonton, everything else is a jumbled mess.
1.448
Blackhawks_medium 3
4
The Blackhawks moved up another spot this week, getting all 6 points in their games last week. They're in 7th, but with two games in hand and only two points out of 4th, they are back in control of their destiny.
1.281
Coyotes_medium 4
3
Phoenix had a rather terrible week, only collecting one point in four games. They're still in 4th place though. Which is surprising.
1.224
Sharks_medium 5
5
The Sharks got all 6 possible points last week, but they required extra time in all three games. That stifles their room to move up here, but it's enough to solidify their spot in 3rd place.
1.184
Kings_medium 6
7
Los Angeles got 6 of 8 possible points, which is good, but it's that most recent game (a 7-4 loss to Detroit) which is troubling. They're in a three-way tie for 6th place, but find themselves in 8th due to their seven(!) shootout wins.
1.180
Flames_medium 7
9
The Flames got 5 of 6 points, which they'll have to keep doing if they want to hold off the teams below them, who have played fewer games.
1.172
Predators_medium 8
6
Nashville fell two spots, largely a result of only collecting 2 points in four games. They now see themselves on the outside looking into the playoffs.
1.131
Stars_medium 9
11
The Stars are still clinging to 6th place in the West, largely due to collecting all six possible points last week. A turnaround or a slight uptick before the final fall?
1.117
Wild_medium 10
8
Minnesota is two points out of the playoffs this week, thanks to only getting two points in three games last week.
1.056
Blue_jackets_medium 11
10
The Blue Jackets will need to do better than 3 points in three games. They're too far back for that to be enough.
1.017
Ducks_medium 12
13
Anaheim did the same as Columbus last week, which just isn't enough for two teams looking up at a brawl.
0.915
Blues_medium 13
12
The Blues got two points in four games. They're done.
0.905
Avalanche_medium 14
14
Colorado has been done for a little while now, but only getting 1 point in four games (including a 5-1 loss to Edmonton) is pretty bad.
0.828
Oilers_medium
15 15
The Oilers jumped over the Senators for 29th in the power rankings. Good for them.
0.615

Continue

NHL Power Rankings Week 19: Boston Takes the Top Spot; San Jose Gains

This week,the Bruins take over first place in the NHL, knocking the Flyers out of the top spot in the East for the first time since doing these power rankings.

In the West, the Coyotes maintain 3rd place as the Stars fall from 3rd two weeks ago to 11th this week.

 

Eastern Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Bruins_medium 1 2
The Bruins knocked the Flyers out of first place for the first time all year, and they did it by beating up on the Islanders and Senators. 1.801
Flyers_medium
2
1
Philadelphia got 5 of 8 possible points, but is now looking up at Boston's ridiculous 1.46 five-on-five goal ratio.
1.777
 Penguins_medium
3
3
The Penguins continue to fall towards the middle of the pack despite maintaining 3rd place. Injuries will do that.
1.304
Capitals_medium 4
4
Washington is gaining on the East's best, and they're only one point behind Tampa for the Southeast Division lead. All while getting some really poor luck.
1.239
Canadiens_medium 5
5
The Canadiens continue to linger, only getting 10 points in their last ten games. Holding steady.
1.142
Lightning_medium 6
6
Tampa Bay is barely holding onto the Southeast lead, but they have two games in hand on Washington. Somehow, they still have a minus-6 goal differential and a 0.95 five-on-five ratio.
1.127
Sabres_medium 7
7
The Sabres look primed for a run, as they are within striking distance of the playoffs. They have a better five-on-five ratio than the Rangers and Hurricanes, and at least 3 games in hand on both.
1.015
Rangers_medium 8
8
New York has only gotten 7 points in their last ten games, and they will need to do better if they want to stay ahead of the two teams on their heels.
1.013
Hurricanes_medium 9
11
The Hurricanes moved up despite only getting 9 points in their last ten games. Still, they're a good team who is right on the bubble.
0.930
Thrashers_medium 10
10
Atlanta continues to fall out of the playoff picture, and now they have to worry about their ownership situation causing the team to move. Ouch.
0.884
Panthers_medium 11
9
The Panthers have been passed in the standings by Toronto, which is pretty bad. Next week, they'll probably be passed by Toronto here too.
0.851
Maple_leafs_medium
12
12
Toronto is only one point out of 10th place in the East. Getting 14 points in ten games will do that.
0.807
Devils_medium 13
13
The Devils will not make the playoffs. They are on a ridiculous run, but they have gotten ridiculously lucky. Stop dreaming.
0.684
Islanders_medium 14
14
New York has earned 14 points in their last ten games. Good for them.
0.615
Senators_medium
15 15
The Senators are bad. Really bad.
0.522

 

Western Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Canucks_medium
1 1
The Canucks have a pretty crazy plus-59 goal differential. They're still the class of the West.
1.755
Red_wings_medium
2
2
Detroit maintains their position, getting 6 out of eight possible points.
1.489
Coyotes_medium 3
3
The Coyotes stay in third, thanks to collecting 16 points in their last ten games.
1.298
Blackhawks_medium 4
5
Chicago is still in 10th place, but they're only two points out of fifth. Getting 6 points in the last four games is a good start.
1.227
Sharks_medium 5
9
The Sharks made a big move last week, collecting all six possible points. They're now in 4th place, collecting 16 points in their last ten games.
1.176
Predators_medium 6
6
Nashville is in 6th place in the West, and they've only scored 5 goals in their last three games. They will need better scoring if they want to keep winning.
1.152
Kings_medium 7
4
The Kings only got three points in their last three games, but they managed to climb into 8th place in the West. Only two points separate 5th from 11th in the West, with L.A. in the middle.
1.148
Wild_medium 8
10
Minnesota recorded 5 points in four games, but that was good enough to move up. They're atop the jumbled mess that is the West's playoff bubble.
1.099
Flames_medium 9
8
The Flames are still in a precarious position due to their games played, but four points in 3 games is not bad.
1.097
Blue_jackets_medium 10
11
Columbus is back in the playoff picture. And the Matt Calvert watch is still in force. Another goal, this one courtesy of Pekka Rinne
1.051
Stars_medium 11
7
The Stars continuing falling, and falling fast. Four goals in three games, all losses, and that will happen. They've now only collected three points in their last 10 games.
1.050
Blues_medium 12
13
St. Louis scored at least three goals in all four games last week, but only got four points. They'll need to shore up the defense if they plan to make up the 5 points between them and the playoffs.
0.966
Ducks_medium 13
12
The Ducks are still in the playoff picture, but with their hopes resting on Ray Emery, things may be fading fast.
0.917
Avalanche_medium 14
14
Colorado is falling just as fast as Dallas, but they started it a long time ago. Three points in ten games is very, very bad.
0.896
Oilers_medium
15 15
The Oilers can't even give Sheldon Souray away.
0.615

Continue

NHL Power Rankings Week 18: The Stars and Avalanche Plummet; Top Teams Still On Top

This week, the Stars finally fall, the East's tightening playoff race results in some shuffling, teams are quickly being unofficially eliminated, and Buffalo looks better despite overreactions.

Can't wait until next week gets even crazier.

 

Eastern Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Flyers_medium 1 1
The Flyers have been sitting atop the Eastern Conference all season, and now they traded for winger Kris Versteeg. And Nikolay Zherdev continues to rot in Coach Laviolette's doghouse. Is it time to trade him? 1.871
 Bruins_medium
2
2
Boston has lost three games in a row now, but are staying above the Penguins due to their injuries. When Tyler Seguin is a healthy scratch, I think things will be okay for the Bruins.
1.682
 Penguins_medium
3
3
The Penguins got beat down by the Islanders on Friday, but won two overtime games to bookend their week. Despite their injuries, they're still treading water.
1.342
Capitals_medium 4
5
Washington moves back to the #4 spot, but they have a way to go to catch the Lightning or Penguins.
1.219
Canadiens_medium 5
4
The Canadiens lost two shootouts last week, but are still jockeying with Washington for the privilege of facing Pittsburgh in the first round.
1.167
Lightning_medium 6
6
Tampa Bay maintains their hold on 2nd place in the East despite continuing to have a negative goal differential. And negative 5-on-5 ratio. But they have gotten 15 points in their last 10 games, so watch out for them.
1.150
Sabres_medium 7
8
The Sabres look poised to move into 8th in the East, despite some people in Buffalo calling Ryan Miller a "run-of-the-mill netminder." Those people are very, very wrong.
1.071
Rangers_medium 8
7
New York boasts a very good goal differential (if it was included in the calculations, they'd be 5th in the East), but a middling 5-on-5 ratio. They've also only gotten 7 points in their last 10, so they will need to turn it around soon in order to hold off Carolina and Buffalo.
1.058
Panthers_medium 9
9
The Panthers are in the middle of a fire sale (evidenced by trading Michael Frolik at his lowest value). Could the under-appreciated pair of Stephen Weiss and Tomas Vokoun be next?
0.928
Thrashers_medium 10
10
Atlanta just over-paid for Dustin Byfuglien, and now they may be relocating. But Phoenix is an example of Gary Bettman's refusal to allow teams to relocate.
0.924
Hurricanes_medium 11
11
The Hurricanes were a trendy pick to sneak into the playoffs, and while they're still in good position in the bubble, they will need to beat out two of Atlanta, Buffalo, and NY Rangers. It's possible, but they shouldn't be confident. Ten points in ten games isn't going to be good enough.
0.920
Maple_leafs_medium
12
12
Toronto may be giving up on the season (Joffrey Lupul in, Kris Versteeg out?), but they continue to get better. And the James Reimer love is in full swing.
0.771
Devils_medium 13
13
The Devils were never as bad as they appeared at the beginning of the season (even if it was fun to laugh at them), and now they're showing it. But don't get ridiculous. They aren't making the playoffs.
0.615
Islanders_medium 14
15
New York extracted revenge on the Penguins, which crossed the line into intent to injure. But they were in the news for something that happened on the ice (without Rick DiPietro) for the first time in awhile.
0.589
Senators_medium
15 14
The Senators somehow got a second round pick for Chris Kelly. What else can they pull off this deadline?
0.537

 

Western Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Canucks_medium
1 1
The Canucks cling to the top spot in the NHL, but 16 points in their last ten games is pretty damn good. Even with all their injuries on defense.
1.871
Red_wings_medium
2
2
Detroit continues to stay at the top of the Western standings, and they just got good news: Brad Stuart is back from injury.
1.479
Coyotes_medium 3
5
The Coyotes jump to their spot in the standings, but getting 10 points in five games, after only getting 2 in the previous 5 has a lot to do with that.
1.229
Kings_medium
4
7
Los Angeles may sit in 9th place in the West, but they are only two points out of 3rd place with a game in hand. They are not a team one would like to face in the playoffs.
1.211
Blackhawks_medium 5
4
The Blackhawks sit in 11th, but they have a higher 5-on-5 ratio than six of the teams in front of them. They need to start getting more points, and we've been waiting for that to happen all year, but... it has to, right?
1.209
Predators_medium 6
6
Nashville sits in 4th place, and they have a game in hand on the four teams below them. They will have to fall pretty far to drop out, but ten points in ten games is less than good.
1.175
Stars_medium 7
3
The Stars finally fall. Only collecting five points in their last ten games has put them in a precipitous fall. And there are good arguments for why the Stars should trade Brad Richards.
1.119
Flames_medium 8
12
Calgary has gotten 16 points in their last ten, putting them in 8th place in the West. But they have played more games than anyone, so they will have to continue winning at a ridiculous clip to make the playoffs.
1.108
Sharks_medium 9
8
The Sharks are only one point out of the Pacific lead despite having a negative 5-on-5 goal ratio. But the charity point is creating something like a Japanese subway cramming in the West. So the Sharks are in 5th.
1.098
Wild_medium 10
9
Minnesota has climbed into 10th in the West, but is their surge for real?
1.039
Blue_jackets_medium 11
11
The Blue Jackets continue to question whether they have to make a trade at the deadline, but they probably shouldn't give up any youth since they just aren't good enough to make any impact in the playoffs.
1.007
Ducks_medium 12
14
Anaheim has solidified their spot in the playoffs thanks to other teams catching them in games played and falling out of the playoff picture fast. Getting 14 points in ten games helps too.
0.971
Blues_medium 13
13
The Blues are quickly plummeting down the standings, and their season will likely need a prolonged winning streak to extend past 82 games. It's unlikely, and they are already thinking about unloading players.
0.957
Avalanche_medium 14
10
Colorado has fallen so far (3 points in ten games) that their season is almost certainly over. And after the Peter Forsberg debacle, they now have to question whether to fire their coach or not.
0.903
Oilers_medium
15 15
The Oilers are not the Senators. That's good, right?
0.590

Continue

NHL Power Rankings Week 17: Vancouver Takes Top Spot in NHL, West is Wild

This week, the East's Playoff Bubble finally expands, while the West's runs from 3rd place to 14th. Needless to say, the West sees a lot of shuffling while the East sees a few swaps.

Oh, and Vancouver has overtaken the top spot.

Eastern Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Flyers_medium 1 1
The Flyers no longer hold the top spot in the NHL, but they continue to hold the top spot in the East. Back-to-back wins over Nashville and Dallas kept them on top.
1.927
 Bruins_medium
2
2
Boston won a wild game against Dallas, but then got shut out by San Jose. They're going to have to find a fix for their 20th ranked power play though.
1.843
 Penguins_medium
3
3
The Penguins will be tested in the coming weeks, playing without Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin, Mark Letestu, and now Matt Cooke. Time for Jordan Staal and Max Talbot to step up.
1.471
Canadiens_medium 4
5
Montreal has gotten 14 points in their last 10 games, helping to solidify their spot in the standings.
1.248
Capitals_medium 5
4
The Capitals fell into a tie with Montreal, trailing by 0.0003. They're only 4 points behind Pittsburgh for the coveted 4th spot in the East, which they could steal.
1.248
Lightning_medium 6
7
Tampa Bay continues to climb, as their 5-on-5 ratio is now a respectable 0.94. Despite them climbing, they still only received 1 point in their last three games.
1.128
Rangers_medium
7
6
The Rangers are sitting in 7th, 4 points up on Atlanta, but they are at the top of the Playoff Bubble. A large goal-differential, but a slightly above average 5-on-5 ratio are keeping them where they are.
1.069
Sabres_medium 8
10
The Sabres made a move this week, winning two of three games, but mostly benefited from Florida and Atlanta's fall. They are four points out with two games in hand.
1.040
Panthers_medium 9
8
Florida has finally been separated from the playoff race, 7 points out with a game in hand. They look to be selling as well, but hopefully that doesn't mean Stephen Weiss.
0.943
Thrashers_medium 10
9
The Thrashers have fallen three spots in the last two weeks, largely due to them only getting 1 point in their last four games. How they are even in the East's playoff race (1 point out, two additional games played) is shocking considering their minus-21 goal differential.
0.923
Hurricanes_medium 11
11
Carolina is clinging to the 8th and final playoff seed, with a 4-point lead over Buffalo, who has two games in hand. Carolina will need to improve their 5-on-5 play (0.90 ratio) if they want to make a run though.
0.917
Maple_leafs_medium
12
12
Toronto has now won 3 of their last 4, effectively putting them in between the East's worst and the East's Playoff Bubble. Middle ground?
0.637
Devils_medium 13
15
The Devils finally got out of the basement! They're on quite the roll lately, which Gabe Desjardins predicted recently.
0.560
Senators_medium
14
13
Ottawa is out of the playoff race, so they are going to be selling at the deadline. But do they have anything of value to sell?
0.521
 Islanders_medium 15 14
The Islanders have now seen goalies Dwayne Roloson (traded), Rick DiPietro (Broken Face), Nathan Lawson (Knee), and Kevin Poulin (Leg) leave their crease this calendar year. Evgeni Nabokov continues to smile.
0.498

 

Western Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Canucks_medium
1 1
The Canucks move atop the NHL, maintaining a huge lead in the West. Three straight wins, over Phoenix, Chicago, and Ottawa were enough to put them above Philadelphia.
1.954
Red_wings_medium
2
2
Detroit went 2-2 last week, suffering through back-to-back 3-0 losses. At least Jimmy Howard is back.
1.411
Stars_medium
3
3
The Stars are dealing with a few injuries. Okay, a lot of injuries.
1.232
 Blackhawks_medium 4
5
Chicago finds themselves in 11th place in the West, and yet they are 4th here. They are 3 points out of the 8th spot with two games in hand, and they are only 5 points out of 6th, with two games in hand. At some point, the Defending Cup Champs will make their run. They just hope it's in time to make the playoffs.
1.193
Coyotes_medium 5
6
The Coyotes are in 6th place in the West, but they are only 3 points up on 9th place, with two more games played. A good club, but they are just another in a crowded West.
1.187
Predators_medium 6
4
Nashville is in 5th place, but they're only 4 points up on 10th place Minnesota, who has two games in hand. Another good team who will have to prove they belong in a battle for home ice. Just like everybody else in the West.
1.140
Kings_medium 7
8
The Kings are the second team out of the playoffs to be in the top-8 here, and their 2nd best goal-differential in the West has a lot do with that. With a better 5-on-5 than Detroit and a better goal differential, the Kings just haven't found a way to stand out in the West.
1.131
Sharks_medium 8
10
San Jose is in 4th in the West, but they're going to want to improve their 5-on-5 play (0.95) if they want to find success.
1.073
Wild_medium 9
9
The Wild need to improve their 5-on-5 play (just like the Sharks), but two one-goal games last week left them with 2 points in two games.
1.048
Avalanche_medium 10
7
Colorado continues falling, and they now find themselves in 14th in the West. Maybe Peter Forsberg can help. Maybe.
1.040
Blue_jackets_medium 11
14
The Blue Jackets are in 12th, but they're going to need a major shakeup and an extended hot streak to sneak in. Maybe they can, but it's unlikely.
0.990
Flames_medium 12
13
Calgary has found a way to climb into the 8th spot in the West by one point, but they have played more games than anybody behind them. It's a tenuous situation at best, but they're there.
0.982
Blues_medium 13
11
The Blues are another team that finds themselves in the Playoff Bubble, 5 points out with 6 games in hand. From 3rd to 14th in the West, only 9 points separate the teams.
0.968
Ducks_medium 14
12
Anaheim is the loser this week, but they're still in 7th place in the West, two points up on 9th place, with one additional game played. And they added Ray Emery as insurance.
0.924
Oilers_medium
15 15
The Oilers and Canucks are probably the only two teams who solidified their spots in the Power Rankings. They're looking to unload some players as well.
0.611

Continue

NHL Power Rankings Week 16: Southern Teams on the Move

This week, Tampa Bay and Nashville make their moves while the West reshuffles itself again. In the same order it did last week. Strange.

Eastern Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Flyers_medium 1 1
The Flyers enter the break in first place in the NHL with 71 points. They've gone 8-2-0 in their last 10 games. They have a league-best 1.43 five-on-five ratio, and a league-best plus-44 goal differential. Yes, they're in first here too.
2.002
 Bruins_medium
2
2
Boston isn't far behind Philadelphia in 5-on-5 (1.42) or goal differential (plus-39), but they are ten points back in the standings (61 points). The two-point lead they have on Montreal is worrisome, but the Bruins are much better than the Canadiens.
1.739
 Penguins_medium
3
3
The Penguins are in the middle of life without Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin, yet they are still 6-3-1 in their last ten. They lost some ground to the Bruins, but they are still among the league's elite.
1.575
Capitals_medium
4
4
Washington went 2-0-1 last week, but they continue to lack consistency. Only scoring 7 goals in three games may have led to 5 out of 6 points last week, but that won't happen often.
1.305
Canadiens_medium
5
6
The Canadiens are in 7th in the East, but they've jumped over the injury-riddled Rangers this week. Going 1-1-1 isn't enough itself, but a 7-1 thumping of Ottawa went a long way.
1.230
Rangers_medium 6
5
New York had a busy week, going 1-2-2 (though they won both shootouts) to get 6 out of 10 possible points. Not bad for a team treading water until they get healthy again.
1.185
Lightning_medium
7
9
The Lightning finally make a move up the power rankings. An even goal differential and a 0.91 five-on-five ratio are still less-than-optimal, but they've come a long way from earlier in the year. Going 2-0-2, getting all 8 possible points helps. A 7-1 win over Atlanta helps even more.
1.106
Panthers_medium 8
8
The Panthers went 1-1-2 last week. The only game where they didn't get points was against New Jersey, which definitely hurts. A 4-3-3 record in their last 10 just isn't cutting it. They may be a good 5-on-5 team, even a great 4-on-5 team, but their atrocious power play is keeping them from winning.
1.058
Thrashers_medium 9
7
Atlanta was the big loser this week, to Tampa's benefit. Why? A 7-1 loss to Tampa Bay was essentially the reason these two teams swapped places, and Atlanta is barely hanging on to a playoff spot at this point.
0.979
Sabres_medium 10
10
The Sabres went 3-1-0 last week, including a big win over Boston, but they are are four points out with two games in hand. The playoffs are within reach, but they'll need to continue improving and get some luck from those ahead of them.
0.978
Hurricanes_medium 11
11
Carolina is now only a point out of the playoffs with two games in hand. They're improving, and they have a good chance to leap over Atlanta in the coming weeks.
0.949
Maple_leafs_medium
12
12
We get to the bottom of the East with Toronto, as everyone above them are very much alive in the playoff race. Going 1-4 last week must have been embarrassing, but after starting the week with a 7-0 loss to the Rangers, it couldn't have been worse than that game.
0.645
Senators_medium 13
13
You know things are bad when your only All-Star representative, upon hearing that he's going, asks "How?". But try looking on the bright side, Down Goes Brown style.
0.554
Islanders_medium
14
14
The Islanders were able to hold the Capitals and Penguins to a combined 3 goals last week, but lost both games. The state of Islanders hockey is depressing.
0.503
Devils_medium 
15 15
The Devils continue winning. It's strange. The Flyers and Penguins combined for only 1 goal against the Devils, who are... still 20 points out of the playoffs.
0.433

 

Western Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Canucks_medium
1 1
The Canucks continue to be the best team in the West, even though they lost two shootouts last week. No need to worry, they followed it up with a 7-1 thumping of Dallas.
1.805
Red_wings_medium
2
2
Detroit tried to get Evgeni Nabokov through waivers to help them out, but it didn't work. And it probably wouldn't have helped when you only score one goal against Chicago.
1.447
Stars_medium
3
3
Dallas may have a relatively marginal goal differential (8) but they have solid 5-on-5 play, a very good power play, and an average penalty kill. Improve the PK a bit and the Stars will join the ranks of the elite.
1.324
 Predators_medium 4
7
The Predators make a jump, but a 1-1-1 week is not why they did. The crowded West allows for teams to make quick movements, but Nashville is in 4th place, has a plus-16 goal differential, and is 7-3 in their last 10.
1.278
Blackhawks_medium 5
4
Chicago took advantage of an injured Red Wings club before losing to Philadelphia and Minnesota. They still have a superb goal differential and a solid 5-on-5 ratio, but they just can't consistently secure points.
1.230
Coyotes_medium 6
6
Phoenix remains in 6th place in the West despite two one-goal losses to L.A. and Edmonton. They'll need to improve their special teams play to above average before they can play with the West's elite, though.
1.199
Avalanche_medium 7
5
The Avalanche were the big losers this week, getting outscored by 7 goals. Big losses to Nashville and Boston set them back, but they are still within striking distance of 5th place in the West.
1.190
Kings_medium 8
8
The Kings are in 11th place despite going 2-1 last week. They're three points out of the playoffs with a game in hand, but they have a superb goal differential and the same 5-on-5 ratio as Detroit. Wait for this team to make a run.
1.120
Wild_medium 9
10
A strange thing happened this week: The four teams ranked 9, 10, 11, and 12 shuffled in the exact same way they did last week. Yes, the West is just that close.
1.055
Sharks_medium 10
12
The Sharks move up a pair of spots, but they are within two points of sixth place, with a game in hand. Going 1-0-1 last week helped, getting all 4 points possible, though.
0.966
Blues_medium 11
9
The Blues only got one point out of a possible six, and they drop as a result. Their poor power play and below average 5-on-5 ratio need to improve if they want to get out of 13th place.
0.930
Ducks_medium
12
11
Anaheim may be in 5th in the standings, but they are relying heavily on their power play for offense. They also have the most games played in the league, so their place in the standings is inflated. The worst 5-on-5 ratio of any playoff team is a bad sign.
0.915
Flames_medium 13
13
Looking at 5-on-5 ratio, Calgary is 17th best in the league. Look at penalty killing, and they are 16th. But their 24th ranked power play and 25th best points per game ratio are hurting them. A lot.
0.892
Blue_jackets_medium 14
14
Sadly, personal favorite Matt Calvert was sent back to the AHL today. But it's because Matt Calvert doesn't take breaks. He'll be back in Columbus next week to impress once again.
0.873
Oilers_medium
15 15
The Oilers continue to be decent at 5-on-5, but their awful special teams and miserable goal differential will keep them in the basement once again.
0.632

Continue

NHL Power Rankings Week 15: The Blackhawks Make a Move

This week, the only change in the East was Buffalo jumping over Carolina. That's it. The East seems to be very clearly separated in tiers of elite (Philadelphia, Boston, Pittsburgh), the challengers (Washington, Rangers, Montreal), the bubble teams (Atlanta, Florida, Tampa Bay), the hangers-on (Buffalo, Carolina), and the basement (Toronto, Ottawa, Islanders, New Jersey).

The West, however, sees Chicago jumps up three spots, the Wild move up two, and the middle of the West gets even more confusing.

Eastern Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Flyers_medium 1 1
The Flyers maintain their spot atop the NHL in this week's poll, but suddenly it is the Bruins who are gaining on them. Boston has a better 5-on-5 ratio and a larger goal differential, but 4 fewer wins.
1.976
 Bruins_medium
2
2
Boston may be in 2nd in the East, but they are going to be given a great opportunity to gain some points this week with games against the Sabres, Avalanche, Kings, and Panthers
1.853
 Penguins_medium
3
3
The Penguins are falling away from Boston in the Power Rankings, but with games against the Devils, Hurricanes, and Islanders this week, there is plenty of opportunity to move up. Even without Sidney Crosby.
1.632
Capitals_medium
4
4
Washington is only one point out of the Southeast Division lead, and two road games against the Islanders and Maple Leafs should help them gain ground in the standings. A matchup in Atlanta next Wednesday could be an important game.
1.239
Rangers_medium
5
5
If asked at the beginning of the season whether the Rangers would be better than the Capitals, the answer would have surely been no. But they have a better goal differential, better 5-on-5 ratio, and more wins. The problem is that they lose in regulation instead of in OT.
1.228
Canadiens_medium 6
6
A 2-1-1 week isn't bad, but the Canadiens can't be happy with their 5-2 loss to Pittsburgh or their 2-1 OT loss to Buffalo. They're even at 5-on-5 and only plus-5 in goal differential. A good team, certainly. They just need to score more than 2.49 goals per game, which is 26th best in the NHL.
1.170
Thrashers_medium
7
7
The Thrashers continue to hang around the playoff picture despite a minus-7 goal differential, a 1.01 five-on-five ratio, and a 3.10 goals against per game (25th best) mark. It's a big divisional week for them, with two games against the Lightning and one against the Capitals.
1.052
Panthers_medium 8
8
The Panthers continue to have a positive goal differential and a positive 5-on-5 ratio, but an inability to record points. They played three straight 3-2 games last week, going 2-0-1. They'll need to take points from Columbus, Tampa, and New Jersey next week because they also face the Rangers and Bruins. Rough schedule, with a game every other day.
1.036
Lightning_medium
9
9
The Lightning continue to lead the Southeast, and they continue to be an enigma. There isn't much different from Tampa Bay and Calgary, except Tampa somehow keeps winning. A 3-0 win over Washington is followed by a 5-2 loss to New Jersey. Who are these guys?
1.025
Sabres_medium 10
11
The Sabres went 2-1-0 last week, but I still don't see them making much noise. There's definitely room for them to move up, but the playoffs are probably not in their future.
0.920
Hurricanes_medium 11
10
Carolina sits 3 points out of a playoff spot with two games in hand, but back-to-back losses to the Bruins didn't help. The combined 10-2 score was also not a good indicator.
0.880
Maple_leafs_medium
12
12
The Leafs went 0-1-1 last week, and while they are still closer to the bottom than the top, and with five games this week (NYR, ANA, WAS, CAR, TB) they don't have an easy road ahead.
0.717
Senators_medium 13
13
The Senators went 1-2-1, beating only the Islanders. They're not quite as bad as the Oilers yet, but they are well on their way.
0.611
Islanders_medium
14
14
There isn't much to say about the Islanders - they lost to both the Senators and Devils this week. When presented with the opportunity to have a good week, they squander it. Now they get 5 games in 7 days. 0.510
Devils_medium 
15 15
The Devils actually went 2-0-1 last week on the road, but this week they face Florida, Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, and Detroit. If they get 3 points, they should be incredibly happy with their week.
0.354

 

Western Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Canucks_medium
1 1
The Canucks went 1-2-1 on the road last week, losing the momentum which saw them pull so close to the Flyers last week. They have a four-game homestand this week to gain some of that back against San Jose, Calgary, Dallas, and Nashville. They will probably look for 6 points this week.
1.767
Red_wings_medium
2
2
Detroit is going with Joey MacDonald in net. That's not very good. At least they get to face the Devils next Wednesday.
1.500
Stars_medium
3
3
Dallas is gaining on Detroit, and they sit just one point back of 2nd place in the West. Definitely a team that is for real, even if unexpected.
1.450
 Blackhawks_medium 4
7
The Blackhawks are the big winners of the week, as they move up three spots. A 2-0-1 week will do that, especially when they average 4 goals a game in the three.
1.346
Avalanche_medium 5
4
Colorado had a big win over Vancouver to close their week, but they finished even in goal differential. That sees them sitting at only a plus-6 on the year. Still a good team, just second-tier in the West. 1.330
Coyotes_medium 6
5
Phoenix started the week off right (outscoring Toronto and Anaheim 11-3) but lost to San Jose and Nashville. They sit barely above Nashville here, but behind the Predators in the standings.
1.263
Predators_medium 7
6
Nashville is hurt in the Power Rankings due to their 5 shootout wins. As a result, they are barely below Phoenix, despite having more points, more wins, and fewer games. Can't rely on the shootout in the playoffs, remember.
1.253
Kings_medium 8
8
The Kings just continue to disappoint. They have the same goal differential as the Rangers, with a barely lower 5-on-5 ratio. And they've played fewer games. But the Kings just can't seem to collect points, only getting two in their last 5 games. 1.076
Blues_medium 9
10
The Blues went 2-2 last week, but still moved up. They're still within striking distance of the playoffs, but the Blackhawks are hot right now. They will need the Ducks to fall out of the playoffs.
0.971
Wild_medium 10
12
The Wild see themselves three points behind the Avalanche in the Northwest, and while they aren't particularly great, they do know how to get points. Without a shootout win, the Wild are getting 1.11 points per game, the same as the Rangers, Predators, and Avalanche.
0.953
Ducks_medium 11
9
The Ducks slid backwards, even though they went 2-1-1. A roadtrip through Toronto, Montreal, and Columbus awaits, and they should be able to get some points. And yes, they're still in 5th in the standings.
0.941
 Sharks_medium 12
11
San Jose is another team on the bubble, sitting in 10th place, 3 points out. They're even in the goal differential, but their 4th-ranked PP is keeping them afloat. A matchup with Vancouver tomorrow looms though.
0.917
Flames_medium 13
13
Calgary may be 13th in the West, but they are 23rd in the League. Yes, the bottom of the East is that bad. The best thing about Calgary is their even 5-on-5 ratio.
0.891
Blue_jackets_medium 14
14
The Blue Jackets have only won 3 of their past 10, they have the second worst goal differential in the West, and they are buoyed by 4 shootout wins. Such high hopes, so little execution.
0.832
Oilers_medium
15 15
The Oilers went 1-3 last week, and have only won twice in their last 10. And yet they are almost better than the Senators.
0.604

Continue

NHL Power Rankings Week 14: Teams Plummet in West, East Holds Steady

This week, there is some minor shuffling in the East, while the West continues to shuffle.  The top 5 in the East maintain the same, while the top 2 in the West stay the same.

At this point, the Stars are deserving of attention. No longer can Los Angeles be considered the favorites for the Pacific due to their recent slide. Instead, the Stars and Avalanche appear to be fighting each other for third-best team in the West. Nashville made a recent surge and they could join the conversation soon, but the longer the season goes, the less shuffling we can expect at the top. At least in the East.

 

 

Eastern Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Flyers_medium 1 1
The Flyers stay atop the Power Rankings for another week, and their lead looks especially comfortable. They are tied for second in the league in points, tied for second in goal differential, second in adjusted points per game, and first in 5-on-5 goal differential. Vancouver isn't far behind though.
1.961
 Bruins_medium
2
2
The Bruins maintain second place in the Conference, though they are close with Pittsburgh. The difference between the two is largely due to their two games in hand. Games against Philadelphia and Pittsburgh this week will be good tests.
1.684
 Penguins_medium
3
3
The Penguins stay in third place, and they have a tough week ahead of them. Games in Montreal and Boston, then a home game against Detroit. They're coming off two losses to Minnesota and Boston by a combined 8-2 score, so they will need to rebound.
1.578
Capitals_medium
4
4
Washington is clinging to the 4th spot over the Rangers after two close games against the Panthers, one win and one loss. They still have to improve their 5-on-5 play, but games against Vancouver and Philadelphia this week will be tests. Tampa Bay and Ottawa present opportunities to move up.
1.282
Rangers_medium
5
5
Four straight one-goal games 2-1-1 kept the Rangers close, but they still trail the bigger names in the East in adjusted points per game. A tough week lies ahead as the Rangers play the Canucks, Canadiens and Flyers.
1.261
Canadiens_medium 6
8
The Canadiens move up two spots with big wins over the Bruins and Rangers (plus a shootout win over the Penguins), but they are still a bubble team in the East. Their tough road continues with a game against the Penguins tonight and the Rangers Saturday, but will give way when they face Calgary and Buffalo.
1.140
Thrashers_medium
7
6
The Thrashers let points slip away last week, losing to the Hurricanes in overtime and getting blown out by Toronto. They're now in 8th place in the standings, with tough games against Philadelphia, Dallas, and Florida this week. 1.132
Panthers_medium 8
7
The Panthers are still floundering in 11th place, 11 points out of the playoffs. But they have four games in hand, a better 5-on-5 ratio, and a better goal differential. The problem is that they just can't get points. They're tied for 22nd in the league in adjusted points per game. A big week against Nashville, New Jersey, Atlanta, and Columbus will go a long way to catching Atlanta.
1.047
Lightning_medium
9
9
How can the 2nd place team in the East be in 9th place?? Well, do you want their minus-9 goal differential, their 0.82 five-on-five ratio, their 8-1 loss to Pittsburgh last week, or their 6-3 loss to New Jersey last week? So much promise with Roloson, so poor execution.
1.011
Hurricanes_medium
10
11
The Hurricanes are going on a bit of a run (6-2-2 in their last 10), but they haven't exactly been tested or impressive. A home-and-home with Boston this week will be a good barometer.
1.006
Sabres_medium
11
10
Two good games against the West was squandered when they let the Flyers come back from down 2-0 last night. They have a good 5-on-5 ratio, but a poor goal differential. They also benefit from Ryan Miller getting them Bettman Points.
0.916
Maple_leafs_medium
12
13
The Leafs moved up! Going 3-0-1 last week certainly helped, but they deserve to be above the Senators anyway. They went on the road and outscored Atlanta, San Jose, and Los Angeles by a combined 16-7 score. Good job, Toronto.
0.749
Senators_medium 13
12
They are finally in the bottom-three where they belong. They have a worse goal differential than any team not playing in New Jersey, and they have a worse 5-on-5 ratio than Edmonton. They are not good at all.
0.636
Islanders_medium
14
14
The Islanders did not have an easy week - games against Edmonton, Colorado, Chicago, and Vancouver - and yet still got 3 points out of it. They should have beat Edmonton, but for the Islanders, that's not so bad. 0.492
Devils_medium 
15 15
Somehow, the Devils beat the Lightning 6-3. Seriously. This is why the Lightning are not very good, but the Devils still suck. They get outscored 2-1 at five-on-five.  0.267

 

Western Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Canucks_medium
1 1
Quite possibly the best team in the league, the Canucks head on the road to face the Rangers, Washington, Minnesota, and Colorado. They'll probably want at least six points. They are that good.
1.914
Red_wings_medium
2
2
Detroit gets a home-and-home with the slumping Blue Jackets this weekend, which should help them maintain 2nd place. Moving up? They'll need Vancouver to fold. Which likely won't happen this week.
1.511
Stars_medium
3
4
A 3-0-1 week, with a win over Chicago is very solid. The teams weren't especially challenging, but Dallas just keeps winning. I'm now on board with them as Pacific Division winners. For now at least. 1.409
 Avalanche_medium 4
3
Colorado went 1-1-1, but losses to Phoenix and the Islanders do not sit well. They face the Blackhawks tonight, then the Wild and Canucks. 1.366
Coyotes_medium 5
6
The Coyotes move up thanks to a 3-0-1 week, and they get to continue their run with 4 home games this week. They are the highest ranked team to have a negative goal differential, which suggests that when they lose, they lose big. The big test will be next Tuesday against Nashville. 1.253
Predators_medium 6
9
Another big mover this week, Nashville went 4-0 with a combined score of 16-5. They will have a home-and-home with Chicago this week.
1.246
Blackhawks_medium
7
7
The Blackhawks were taken to a shootout by the Senators on home ice, which shouldn't happen. The home-and-home with Nashville is a good opportunity to gain some ground.
1.213
Kings_medium 8
5
The Kings just keep falling. They need to turn it around fast, and two games against St. Louis is a good time to do it. With Edmonton and Dallas also upcoming this week, it's a good time for the Kings to snap out of their funk.
1.116
Ducks_medium 9
12
I'm still not sold on Anaheim - but they benefited from the Sharks poor play. With games against the Oilers and Senators, I imagine this statement will come up again next week.
0.971
Blues_medium 10
10
The one thing the Blues have on their side is games in hand. No team has played fewer (though Florida, Edmonton, and NYI have played the same) games so far, but the Blues have been fairly average so far. When they get healthy, they may sneak in the playoffs.
0.954
Sharks_medium 11
8
These aren't the Sharks everyone is used to. They sit in 11th place in the West, but what's troubling is they look like a below-average team in goal differential and five-on-five play.
0.941
Wild_medium  12
11
Minnesota somehow sits 10th in the West, and this week will see them face the Avalanche, Canucks, Oilers, and Flames. Two difficult, two winnable. Maybe we'll know who the Wild are after this?
0.929
Flames_medium 13
14
Despite going 0-1-2 last week, Calgary moves up. That's largely because Columbus fell, but at least the Flames have a 0.99 five-on-five ratio. After a three-game swing through eastern Canada, the Flames return home to face the Wild. Four winnable games. 0.852
Blue_jackets_medium 14
13
The Blue Jackets started off the year 14-6-0, but have only gone 6-14-3 since. Despite relatively decent 5-on-5 play, the Jackets just can't get it together. A home-and-home with Detroit won't help. 0.837
Oilers_medium
15 15
The Oilers will head through California this week for three games before returning home to face the Wild. Unfortunately, it doesn't look like this is the week they jump over the Senators.
0.609

Continue

NHL Power Rankings Week 13: Constant West Shuffling, Movement in East

This week, we actually see some movement in the East. The Bruins move up to the second seed, while the Caps make a charge and the Canadiens fall.  The West sees a ton of shuffling, not least of which is the Kings falling two spots.

The Canucks are also close to taking over the Flyers for the NHL's best, and when you factor in all that the Canucks do better, they're probably already better (their one-game sample not-withstanding) based, among other things, on their more difficult schedule.

 

Eastern Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Flyers_medium 1 1
The Flyers maintain the top spot in the East (and the league) despite a sloppy win against the Kings and an ugly loss to the Ducks for a few reasons: They outscored their opponents 12-11 for the week, they beat the two best opponents they played, and they had a really huge lead. But Vancouver is very close behind.
1.893
 Bruins_medium
2
3
The Bruins leap over the Penguins despite being 5 points back in the standings. But the Bruins have a better 5-on-5 ratio, and only a slightly worse adjusted points per game. It's very tight, and the Bruins lost two shootouts last week. Look for the Bruins-Penguins matchup on Monday.
1.682
 Penguins_medium
3
2
Going 0-1-1 dropped the Penguins out of the number 2 spot, but with 5 games in the next 8 days, they will have plenty of opportunity to regain it.
1.638
Capitals_medium
4
7
Welcome back to the top of the East, Washington. After a long, long skid, the Caps beat the Penguins in the Winter Classic, then lost an overtime game. Next week, they face off against the Panthers, Panthers, and Lightning. Games they should win, but could easily lose.
1.268
Rangers_medium
5
5
Just barely behind the Caps, the Rangers missed a chance to move up for the second straight week after only scoring one goal against the Panthers and Lightning. Back-to-back games against Dallas and St. Louis on the road this weekend won't be easy.
1.260
Thrashers_medium
6
6
What to make of the Thrashers. They beat the Bruins in a shootout and beat the Canadiens in OT on the road, but lose to the Devils. They play Florida, Toronto, and Carolina this week, looking to separate themselves from the bubble teams.
1.150
Panthers_medium
7
8
The Panthers just keep moving up the power rankings, and they're moving up the standings too. They beat Carolina, lost to Montreal in overtime, and shutout the Rangers. A little more consistency from the Panthers, and they're within striking distance of 8th place. 1.129
Canadiens_medium
8
4
The biggest loser in the East this week, the Canadiens are 2-5-1 in their last 8 games. They're not far behind the Panthers here, but they aren't far ahead of them in the standings either.
1.125
Lightning_medium
9
9
Everybody seems to be in love with the Lightning, and I have to admit, I'm pretty impressed as well. Unfortunately, it isn't translating to the Power Rankings, as the Lightning are still suffering from a 0.85 five-on-five goal ratio. Only Philadelphia has a higher adjusted points per game ratio than the Lightning in the East, but their 5-on-5 play is 25th best in the League.
1.084
Hurricanes_medium
10
11
Carolina finally jumps over Buffalo (Buffalo falls below Carolina?) with wins against the Devils and Senators. They are improving their 5-on-5 play, but Carolina is pretty close to the definition of "average NHL team" there is.
0.950
Sabres_medium
11
10
For a team that wins the 5-on-5 battle, Buffalo's goal differential is less than optimal. At least they're separating themselves from the East's worst.
0.872
Senators_medium
12
12
Ottawa finally joined the bottom-3, making a very distinct Bottom-4 in the East. They are getting owned at 5-on-5, and they're giving up the 7th most goals per game in the league. A 5-1 loss to Toronto says "Welcome to the basement, Ottawa."
0.675
Maple_leafs_medium
13
13
Two one-goal losses to Columbus and Boston are tough to swallow, but it isn't difficult to see Toronto jumping over Ottawa soon. It probably won't be next week though, as Toronto goes West.
0.624
Islanders_medium
14
14
Don't look now, but the Islanders are 5-1-1 in their last 7. An OT win in Detroit and a SO win against Pittsburgh highlighted the last week, but with a Western swing (Edmonton, Colorado, Chicago, and Vancouver) upcoming, the Islanders run appears over. 0.533
Devils_medium 
15 15
At least the Devils won a game this week. They're that bad. See that number to the right? The Islanders are the second worst team in the league, and they're twice as good as the Devils. It's fascinating. 0.246

 

Western Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Canucks_medium
1 1
The Canucks are close to being the best team in the NHL. They have the highest adjusted points per game of anybody, and the highest goal-differential in the league. They also have the best record. They're 5-on-5 goal ratio is highest in the West as well.
1.805
Red_wings_medium
2
2
Detroit went 2-1-1 last week, but not at all what you would expect. They beat the Oilers - as you would expect - but lost to the Islanders in overtime. A loss the Flyers and a huge 7-3 win against Dallas was an unusual week for Detroi.
1.650
Avalanche_medium
3
4
Returning to the 3 spot, Colorado didn't do much to deserve it. They went 1-2-1, taking Edmonton to a shootout and Buffalo to overtime. 1.309
 Stars_medium
4
5
The leader in the Pacific Division is back atop the Kings this week, despite getting outscored 13-8 last week. Big losses to Detroit and Vancouver put a damper on the Stars week. 1.288
Kings_medium
5
3
In a week where the Stars and Avs gave them room to establish themselves in the 3 spot, the Kings responded by giving up 18 goals in 4 games. Two three-goal losses were followed by two one-goal losses, leaving L.A. in a 5 game losing streak. 1.209
Coyotes_medium
6
8
The Coyotes jumped up a bit, but they're still in 11th place in the West. They are part of the very crowded West, but they aren't especially overwhelming. 1.142
Blackhawks_medium
7
6
The Blackhawks lost to the Sharks and Ducks, but beat the Kings. Typical week for the middle of the pack, though they still have a rather impressive plus-10 goal differential.
1.122
Sharks_medium
8
7
The Sharks have a chance this week with two weaker Eastern Conference teams (Buffalo and Toronto) coming to town, plus games against Nashville and Anaheim.
1.091
Predators_medium
9
10
After beating Minnesota and Columbus by a combined 8-2 score, the Predators jumped back over the Blues and are now on the Sharks heels. Nothing is particularly great about the Predators, but that's normal for the West. 1.084
Blues_medium
10
9
Another close week for the Blues, getting outscored 7-6 in a two-game split. They keep getting points in their games, which is good, but from here, all teams have a negative goal-differential.
1.028
Wild_medium
11
12
It's a very tight battle here, as the Wild are not ahead of the Flames by much. This is largely due to their poor 5-on-5 rating, but they keep getting points.
0.948
Ducks_medium 
12
14
A big week for the Ducks as they beat up on the Flyers, then beat the Blackhawks. In the middle of a 6-game homestand, the Ducks will need to collect points from those right around them (Nashville, Columbus, and St. Louis, specifically) if they want to maintain their 6th place standing.
0.932
Blue_jackets_medium
13
11
Columbus missed a few opportunities last week, with one-goal wins over Toronto and Ottawa, then got outscored 8-3 in Nashville and Phoenix. In the West, that's not good enough. 0.910
Flames_medium
14
13
A 2-1-0 week isn't too impressive when you play the Oilers and Islanders, but when you beat the Avalanche, there's something to be happy about. Plus, there are 5 Eastern Conference teams worse than Calgary. 0.884
Oilers_medium
15 15
The Oilers are in the middle of an 0-5-2 skid, and the 2-1 loss to Calgary hurts. It doesn't get any easier with a game against the streaking Islanders, then road games against the Canucks and Stars.
0.632

Continue

NHL Power Rankings Week 12: The West Shuffles

In this week's power rankings, the East stays largely the same while the West gets shuffled. The Canucks grab the top spot in the West while the Kings, Blackhawks, and Blues jump up 2 spots each.

Just a refresher, the rankings are kind of like the BCS, since teams are ranked according to a mathematical formula. But it's not a very difficult formula, as it is simply a team's 5-on-5 goal ratio multiplied by their adjusted points per game. With the story published on Behind the Net today showing that shootouts are essentially a coin flip, there's even more reason to discount shootout wins.

Eastern Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Flyers_medium

1 1
The Flyers have now lost two straight games by a combined score of 11-2. They're still in first due to the large lead they had last week, but Pittsburgh is close behind.  If they don't turn it around, they should drop next week.
1.893
Penguins_medium

2
2
The gap between the Penguins and Flyers has closed thanks to a week that saw the Penguins go 2-1-1 (remember, shootout wins don't count here.) In just one week, the Penguins cut their deficit in half.
1.702
Bruins_medium

3
3
A 2-0-1 week against the Southeast propelled the Bruins to the top of the Northeast, where they belonged. Now, they just need to find some goals. 1.671
Canadiens_medium

4
4
Getting outscored 7-1 in their last two games dropped the Canadiens into a fight with the Rangers instead of trying to catch the Bruins. There's not a clear division among the top-3. 1.283

Rangers_medium
5
6
The only team to move up this week, and it was largely due to their 7-2 drubbing of the Islanders. Well, the Thrashers certainly helped them too. 1.271
Thrashers_medium

6
5
Not a good week in Atlanta, as the Thrashers went 0-2-1 while getting outscored 10-4 in their two losses. It's not that the Thrashers are bad, it's that they played the Bruins and Penguins. 1.235

Capitals_medium
7
7
The Caps are sitting atop the Southeast division, but don't let that fool you. The only three teams currently in playoff position to allow more than 97 goals against all come from the Southeast. If Washington can stop giving up goals, they'll start being the team everyone expected. 1.205

Panthers_medium
8
8
The Panthers may be sitting in 12th in the standings, but they should be a playoff bubble team. The problem is their league-worst power play, which is converting at a miserable 9.4%. If they could fix that, the Panthers would shoot up the standings.
1.021

Lightning_medium
9
9
Going 1-1-2 isn't going to help your cause, but keeping every game to within one goal will help you tread water. The Lightning are the only team in the top-8 to give up more goals than they score, however. 0.997

Sabres_medium
10
10
You might not understand why Buffalo is above Carolina, but the main reason is their ability to win the battle at 5-on-5. Even if it's just barely.
0.855

Hurricanes_medium
11
11
For a team currently in 9th place, there isn't much to be happy about in Carolina. Losing the 5-on-5 battle, giving up 34 shots a game, a 27th-ranked PK unit, and a 24th ranked power play.
0.820

Senators_medium
12
12
Ottawa is closing in on joining the bottom-3 in the East, which is quite impressive. A minus-22 goal differential combined with a terrible 5-on-5 ratio equals a subpar hockey team. It's only their special teams that are keeping them in the playoff picture.
0.788

Maple_leafs_medium
13
13
What can you say about the Maple Leafs? They beat up on the Devils and barely lost to the Hurricanes. Last week was basically a good reflection of them. 0.608
Islanders_medium

14
14
A brutal loss to cross-town rivals cannot be good, but they did go 3-0 before then, beating the Canadiens 4-1 and the Lightning in overtime. Yes, they too beat up on the Devils. 0.473

Devils_medium
15 15
Things just keep getting better for Flyers fans. The Devils faced the two worst teams in the league not playing in New Jersey, and got outscored 9-2. Sadly, the depths of their terribleness may have just hit bottom. 0.221

 

Western Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Canucks_medium

1 2
Going 3-0-1 with big wins over Columbus and Philadelphia were enough to propel the Canucks to the top spot in the West. They now have the largest goal differential in the West. Oh, they're also 7-0-3 in their last ten games
1.701
Red_wings_medium

2
1
Detroit went 3-1 last week, playing three one-goal games. They didn't do much to fall out of the top spot, but Vancouver did enough to jump in.
1.667
Kings_medium

3
5
Winning the Battle of California by a combined 8-1 score (Anaheim and San Jose) was enough to take their 2-0-1 week up two spots in the West. They're still not leading the Pacific Division, but with two games in hand, they're in a good position. 1.523
Avalanche_medium

4
3
Going 0-1-1 dropped the Avalanche back, but with games against Edmonton, Calgary, and Buffalo, the Avs should be in a better position next week. 1.435

Stars_medium
5
4
The Stars let points slip away last week, going 1-1-1- against Calgary, Phoenix, and Nashville. A shootout loss to Calgary and a shutout loss to Phoenix kept the Stars close, but those are 3 points the Stars could use. 1.320
Blackhawks_medium

6
8
Don't look now, but the Blackhawks are starting to shore up their defense. Three straight games only allowing one goal? Five straight allowing two or fewer? They're still in 8th place, but that's because they have played two additional games. Time to make a run. 1.219

Sharks_medium
7
7
The Sharks traded comfortable wins last week, beating the Coyotes and ceding one to the Kings. It doesn't get easier next week against Minnesota, Chicago, Los Angeles, and Vancouver. 1.111

Coyotes_medium
8
9
The Coyotes went 1-2 last week despite getting outscored 7-3. That 1-0 win over the Stars salvaged the week, but with L.A., St. Louis, Minnesota, and Columbus on the horizon, the Coyotes could have a good week.
1.057

Blues_medium
9
11
The only team in playoff positioning in the West with a negative goal differential, the Blues had a great week. They went 3-0 while outscoring the Red Wings, Predators, and Blackhawks 9-4. 1.048

Predators_medium
10
6
The biggest loser of the week, the Predators fell 4 spots, but they aren't far behind 8th place. Nashville went 0-4 last week, only scoring 4 goals. In the super close West, that's just not going to be good enough.
1.040

Blue_jackets_medium
11
10
An 0-2-1 week drops the Blue Jackets down, but the blowout losses to Vancouver and Chicago didn't help. Luckily for Columbus, they get to play Toronto and Ottawa before heading on the road to play Nashville and Phoenix.
0.950

Wild_medium
12
12
Typical for the West, Minnesota went 1-1-1, beating Colorado but losing to Detroit. A tough game against San Jose, then two close games against Nashville and Phoenix can be lessened with their game against the Devils.
0.846

Flames_medium
13
14
The Flames follow up a 1-0-1 week with games against the Oilers and Islanders. But they have to play the Avalanche and Canucks too. 0.813
  Ducks_medium


14
13
The Ducks are barely behind the Flames, thanks largely to a 4-1 loss to the Kings. It doesn't get any easier this week with games against the Flyers, Blackhawks, and Predators. 0.810

  Oilers_medium

15 15
An 0-2-1 week looks bad, but the Oilers are playing teams close. Besides, they're better than the Leafs, Islanders, and Devils. 0.688

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