NHL Power Rankings Week 1: Crazy Things Happen in One Week of Hockey

Looking at last week's results? The standings? If you want to know how good the teams are, dig deeper.

Power rankings are back! With a new season comes new rankings, but the same formula. If you recall from last year, the formula looks at non-shootout win point totals per game, and multiplies that by five-on-five goal ratio. The numbers end up between 0 and 2 normally, but in the early season, those numbers are highly volatile.

In any event, here we go:

 

Eastern Conference

This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Flyers_medium 1 -- The Flyers are off to a fantastic start, one of only four NHL teams without a regulation loss so far this year. Their 5-on-5 goal differential puts them just above Toronto so far.
4.078
Maple_leafs_medium 2 -- Toronto is off to a blazing fast start so far, but falls short of the number 1 spot due to being one-third of a goal behind the Flyers' 5-on-5 differential.
4.000
Sabres_medium 3 -- The Sabres have three players with three goals in four games. Tomas Vanek and Drew Stafford are common names, but Luke Adam is a surprise.
3.000
Capitals_medium 4
--
The Capitals are the lowest ranked undefeated team according to the formula, largely because they have a shootout win and a mediocre 5-on-5 goal differential.
2.188
Islanders_medium 5
--
The Islanders have gotten some excellent play from John Tavares and Al Montoya so far this year, and they look to surprise a lot of people this season. 2.100
Canadiens_medium 6
--
Montreal is off to a slow start, with only one win in four games. But they're winning the even-strength battle.
1.125
Rangers_medium 7
--
The Rangers have yet to win a game this year, but have an OT loss and a SO loss. With a mediocre 5-on-5 ratio, they stay afloat in the East.
0.833
  Devils_medium 8
--
The Devils have six points in four games, but they won two of them in the shootout. Coupled with their below-average 5-on-5 ratio, and you have a middling team.
0.710
Penguins_medium 9
--
Pittsburgh is sitting on three wins and eight points, putting them 5th in the NHL, but with a worse 5-on-5 ratio than Carolina, they aren't looking very good early.
0.665
Lightning_medium 10
--
Tampa Bay has only one win in five games and has a negative goal differential, just like last year. Sign of trouble to come? 0.640
Bruins_medium 11
--
The Bruins will probably hear about a Stanley Cup hangover, but with an even 5-on-5 ratio, there are signs of another good team.
0.600
Panthers_medium
12
--
Florida has four points in three games, a sign of a successful overhaul. But their 5-on-5 ratio is dragging them down here.
0.600
Hurricanes_medium 13
--
The Hurricanes have two wins and five points - the same as Vancouver - but a miserable 5-on-5 ratio is keeping them near the bottom of the league.
0.580
Senators_medium 14 -- Ottawa has two points in five games, but even that win came in the shootout. The league-worst 5-on-5 ratio means the Senators are likely the worst team in the NHL this year.
0.086
Jets_medium
15 -- The Jets haven't won a game yet, as they sit 0-3. They have the second-worst 5-on-5 ratio this year, barely above Ottawa's, so they will be challenging for worst team in the NHL.
0.000

 

Western Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Red_wings_medium 1 -- The Red Wings are off to a crazy good start, winning all four of their games in regulation and having a 3.67 goal ratio at 5-on-5. They are the only Western Conference team without a regulation loss.
7.340
Blackhawks_medium 2 -- Chicago won two games in regulation out of four and have a good 5-on-5 ratio. Dave Bolland also has three goals in three games, which is unexpected
1.875
Ducks_medium 3
--
The Ducks are struggling with offense, but their defense has been stingy. Two regulation wins and only one loss puts them in a good spot with a mediocre 5-on-5 ratio.
1.500
Coyotes_medium 4
--
Phoenix has seen their first round pick in 2009 score three goals in four games. From the blueline. Oliver Ekman-Larsson has been a pleasant surprise while Shane Doan continues to carry the team.
1.463
Stars_medium 5
--
The Stars have won four of five games, but they have an even 5-on-5 ratio. Don't expect them to win 80% of their games going forward.
1.400
Blues_medium 6
--
St. Louis has the second best 5-on-5 goal differential in the West but have only won two of five games. Look for one to change in the other direction.
1.256
Canucks_medium 7
--
The Canucks are off to a mediocre start, winning two of five games with a mediocre 5-on-5 ratio. Don't expect that to last.
1.120
Avalanche_medium 8
--
Colorado is surprising a lot of people behind the strong pay of Semyon Varlamov. Four wins in five games, but they're being outscored at 5-on-5. Something has to change.
1.056
Kings_medium
9
--
The Kings have a rather weak 5-on-5 ratio, but they managed to win two of four games. After the long road trip to the season, the Kings look forward to returning home.
1.038
Wild_medium 10
--
Minnesota is off to a pretty good start, winning two of five games, losing another two in the shootout. With an even 5-on-5 ratio, the Wild are hanging tough.
1.000
Sharks_medium 11
--
The Sharks have a really good 5-on-5 ratio, but only one win in three games. Look for the Sharks to improve soon.
0.887
Predators_medium
12
--
Nashville has a miserable 5-on-5 ratio, yet they've still managed to collect 5 points in 4 games. David Legwand is currently at a 2.00 points per game pace. Neither will last.
0.775
Oilers_medium 13
--
The Oilers are showing signs of improvement, with an even 5-on-5 ratio and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins scoring 4 goals in three games. It's about to get exciting in Edmonton.
0.667
Flames_medium 14
--
Calgary only has one win in four games, but their 5-on-5 ratio suggest they aren't that bad. Still bad, yes, but not that bad.
0.400
Blue_jackets_medium 15 -- The Blue Jackets are win-less in five tries. And they just found out Jeff Carter has a hairline fracture in his foot while also sending Matt Calvert down to the AHL. Clearly, they're in trouble.
0.164

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