NHL Power Rankings Week 23: Down the Stretch They Come

Looking at last week's results? The standings? If you want to know how good the teams are, dig deeper.

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NHL Power Rankings Week 23: Down the Stretch They Come

This week, Buffalo's surge begins to appear while San Jose's return to the top of the Pacific coincides with a rise here.

The Power Ranking Rating is arrived at through a formula which includes the teams' adjusted points per game (regulation wins count for two while games going to overtime, regardless of outcome, count for one point) and Score-Adjusted Fenwick. The two are weighted, giving strong preference to Score-Adjusted Fenwick, while also factoring in how successful a team has been at winning games in 60 minutes.

At the end is each team's magic number - the number of games they must win to clinch a playoff berth - according to playoffstatus.com.

Here we go:

Eastern Conference

This WeekLast WeekRationale
Rating
Penguins_medium.png" class="photo" alt="Penguins_medium" />
1 1 The Penguins are going to have to wait until the summer to fil their need for a backup goalie. (Clinched) 1.040
Rangers_medium.png" class="photo" alt="Rangers_medium" /> 2 2 New York realizes how important it is to win the Atlantic, if for no other reason than avoiding the Flyers in the first round. (Clinched) 1.032
Flyers_medium 3 3 The Flyers are going to be without Ilya Bryzgalov, who has a bone chip in his foot. But it's supposedly not serious. (Clinched) 0.998
Bruins_medium.png" class="photo" alt="Bruins_medium" /> 4
4 Boston is creating a mock-80s sitcom revolving around their mascot. The preview looks amazing. (Magic Number - 1) 0.954
<a class='sbn-auto-link' href=Senators_medium" src="http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/513675/Senators_medium.png" /> 5
5 The Senators, despite having a very good year, can't stop marveling at former-goalie Brian Elliott. (Magic Number - 4) 0.867
<a class='sbn-auto-link' href=Panthers_medium" src="http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/752407/Panthers_medium.png" /> 6
6 Florida offered Jason Garrison $2.5 million, but he rejected it. Is he worth $4 million per? He thinks so. (Magic Number - 3) 0.864
Devils_medium.png" class="photo" alt="Devils_medium" /> 7
8 The Devils are debating whether they should give up their 1st round pick as part of their Kovalchuk punishment this year. (Magic Number - 2) 0.845
<a class='sbn-auto-link' href=Capitals_medium" src="http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/513703/Capitals_medium.png" /> 8
7 Washington came out flat against Buffalo in a battle for 8th place, losing 5-1. (Tragic Number - 5) 0.838
Sabres_medium.png" class="photo" alt="Sabres_medium" /> 9
11 The Sabres have come all the way back and are now in control of their own playoff destiny. (Magic Number - 5) 0.800
Jets_medium.png" class="photo" alt="Jets_medium" /> 10
9 Winnipeg is just the latest team struggling to understand why Randy Jones continues to get ice time. (Tragic Number - 3) 0.790
Hurricanes_medium.png" class="photo" alt="Hurricanes_medium" /> 11
10 The Hurricanes need Jeff Skinner to stay on the ice and out of the box. (Tragic Number - 1) 0.769
<a class='sbn-auto-link' href=Lightning_medium" src="http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/752411/Lightning_medium.png" /> 12
12
Tampa Bay won the J.T. Brown sweepstakes, but he's going to be a free agent again next summer. (Tragic Number - 2) 0.739
Maple_leafs_medium 13
13
The Maple Leafs appear to already have checked out, which makes sense since they're eliminated. (Eliminated) 0.698
<a class='sbn-auto-link' href=Islanders_medium" src="http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/513651/Islanders_medium.png" /> 14 14 New York is taking an early look at who they could target in the draft. Can't blame them. (Eliminated) 0.692
<a class='sbn-auto-link' href=Canadiens_medium" src="http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/513719/Canadiens_medium.png" /> 15 15 The Canadiens have a 90% chance of getting a top-3 pick this year. What are they going to do with it? (Eliminated) 0.663

Western Conference


This WeekLast WeekRationale
Rating
Blues_medium 1 1 The Blues no longer have a spot for B.J. Crombeen. Looking at his fall. (Clinched) 1.149
Red_wings_medium 2 2 Detroit has a truly amazing player in Pavel Datsyuk. Even his interviews are fantastic. (Clinched) 1.054
<a class='sbn-auto-link' href=Canucks_medium" src="http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/513755/Canucks_medium.png" /> 3
3 The Canucks are asking their fans not to riot. This is both good and sad. (Clinched) 1.033
Blackhawks_medium 4
4 Chicago lost Duncan Keith for 5 games as a result of his elbow to the head of Daniel Sedin. (Magic Number - 2) 0.960
Sharks_medium 5
7 The Sharks are going from out of the playoffs to division leaders after what seems like each game. (Magic Number - 4)
0.896
<a class='sbn-auto-link' href=Predators_medium" src="http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/752447/Predators_medium.png" /> 6
5 Nashville is benefiting from Maritn Erat's great, possibly even career, year. (Clinched) 0.887
<a class='sbn-auto-link' href=Kings_medium" src="http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/752464/Kings_medium.png" /> 7
6 The Kings still have a difficult path ahead of themselves. (Magic Number - 5) 0.884
Stars_medium 8
8
Dallas doesn't miss Nicklas Grossmann, arguing that they have actually improved since trading him. (Magic Number - 4) 0.843
<a class='sbn-auto-link' href=Coyotes_medium" src="http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/513787/Coyotes_medium.png" /> 9
9 The Coyotes are getting Shane Doan back for the final stretch of games. (Magic Number - 5) 0.823
Flames_medium 10
10
Calgary is going to use the rest of this season as a snapshot of their recent, poor history. (Tragic Number - 4) 0.810
<a class='sbn-auto-link' href=Avalanche_medium" src="http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/513767/Avalanche_medium.png" /> 11
11
The Avalanche have retained their GM and their coach for next season. (Tragic Number - 4) 0.788
Ducks_medium
12
12
Anaheim is asking whether Teemu Selanne will play one more year. Teemu Selanne should play one more year. (Tragic Number - 1) 0.736
Oilers_medium 13
13
The Oilers lost Taylor Hall to shoulder surgery, an injury he has had for years. (Eliminated) 0.665
Wild_medium 14
14
Minnesota is looking at a high draft pick again. (Eliminated) 0.598
Blue_jackets_medium 15 15 The Blue Jackets finally signed a goalie! Shawn Hunwick went from Michigan to backup NHL goalie the same day. (Eliminated) 0.503

Continue

NHL Power Rankings Week 22: Pittsburgh Is Really, Really Good

This week, Pittsburgh jumps to the top of the East as Boston plummets. No, it's not the Sidney Crosby effect. It's the Score-Adjusted Fenwick.

Included at the end of each blurb is the playoff probability provided by Fear the Fin, based on the Score-Adjusted Fenwick first published by Broad Street Hockey’s Eric T, and incorporated in the Power Ranking Rating.

The Power Ranking Rating is arrived at through a formula which includes the teams' adjusted points per game (regulation wins count for two while games going to overtime, regardless of outcome, count for one point) and Score-Adjusted Fenwick. The two are weighted, giving strong preference to Score-Adjusted Fenwick, while also factoring in how successful a team has been at winning games in 60 minutes.

Here we go:

Eastern Conference

This WeekLast WeekRationale
Rating
Penguins_medium
1 3 The Penguins...Sidney Crosby! Really, that's it. (Playoff Probability 100%) 1.045
Rangers_medium 2 2 New York clinched a playoff berth, the first team in the East to do so. (Playoff Probability 100%) 1.031
Flyers_medium 3 4 The Flyers lost Andrej Meszaros to back surgery, ending his season. (Playoff Probability 100%) 1.010
Bruins_medium 4
1 Boston beat Toronto 8-0. Yeah, it was bad. (Playoff Probability 99.9%) 0.942
Senators_medium 5
5 The Senators are getting great production out of Ben Bishop, making his acquisition one of the best of the deadline. (Playoff Probability 94.4%) 0.876
Panthers_medium 6
9 Florida is once again receiving solid goaltending, something they've had their entire existence. (Playoff Probability 96.3%) 0.869
Capitals_medium 7
6 The Capitals are crashing the net, and Mathieu Perreault is one of the biggest culprits. (Playoff Probability 65.6%) 0.842
Devils_medium 8
7 New Jersey didn't quite get the Enforcer aspect right. (Playoff Probability 99.7%) 0.841
Jets_medium 9
8 The Jets have one of the largest home/road splits of anyone in awhile. (Playoff Probability 23.5%) 0.813
Hurricanes_medium 10
12
Carolina lost Jeff Skinner to a suspension for kicking. Yup. (Playoff Probability 0.4%) 0.767
Sabres_medium 11
11 The Sabres lost Tyler Myers to a suspension for boarding. (Playoff Probability 19.2%) 0.752
Lightning_medium 12
10
Tampa Bay is going through injuries, but they have clearly defined jobs for their call-ups. (Playoff Probability 0.5%) 0.736
Maple_leafs_medium 13
13
The Maple Leafs are a sad, sad bunch. But they provide some solid humor, like this video parody. (Playoff Probability 0.3%) 0.724
Islanders_medium 14 15 New York is a bad franchise. This much is obvious. But Larry Brooks doesn't really know why this is true. (Playoff Probability 0.0%) 0.675
Canadiens_medium 15 14 The Canadiens are revisiting whether letting Saku Koivu go and acquiring Scott Gomez was a smart move. It wasn't. (Playoff Probability 0.0%) 0.670

Western Conference


This WeekLast WeekRationale
Rating
Blues_medium 1 2 The Blues lost to the Hurricanes, which is bad. But haikus always cheer people up! (Playoff Probability 100%) 1.154
Red_wings_medium 2 1 Detroit is going to be without Jimmy Howard again. (Playoff Probability 100%) 1.034
Canucks_medium 3
3 The Canucks may be better than last year's version. (Playoff Probability 100%) 1.014
Blackhawks_medium 4
6 Chicago is getting solid production out of Patrick Sharp and Viktor Stalberg. (Playoff Probability 98.8%) 0.951
Predators_medium 5
5 The Predators are getting Alexander Radulov soon. He's already in the States. (Playoff Probability 99.9%)
0.902
Kings_medium 6
9 Los Angeles does not have an easy road to the playoffs. (Playoff Probability 59.3%) 0.893
Sharks_medium 7
4 The Sharks are looking closely at themselves to see why they are on the outside of the playoffs looking in. (Playoff Probability 65.9%) 0.887
Stars_medium 8
8
Dallas got Sheldon Souray and Radek Dvorak back from injury. They rejoiced. (Playoff Probability 70.4%) 0.858
Coyotes_medium 9
7 The Coyotes have had their share of troubles lately, including giving up early goals. (Playoff Probability 45.4%) 0.831
Flames_medium 10
11
Calgary is questioning whether Jarome Iginla is worthy of a Hart Trophy nomination. (Playoff Probability 15.6%) 0.808
Avalanche_medium 11
10
The Avalanche want heart over skill. This is supposedly a winning formula. (Playoff Probability 44.7%) 0.798
Ducks_medium
12
12
Anaheim still offers a few reasons to keep watching. (Playoff Probability 0%) 0.740
Oilers_medium 13
13
The Oilers are once again playing spoilers in the West. (Playoff Probability 0%) 0.634
Wild_medium 14
14
Minnesota is not happy Ryan Kesler avoided a suspension for clipping Cal Clutterbuck. (Playoff Probability 0%) 0.622
Blue_jackets_medium 15 15 The Blue Jackets are going to be without Curtis Sanford and James Wismiewski again, and neither injury sounds good. (Playoff Probability 0%) 0.513

Continue

NHL Power Rankings Week 21: A Shuffle Atop the East

This week, the top four in the East shuffled amongst themselves while the Sharks continue to rank highly here but remain on the playoff bubble.

Included at the end of each blurb is the playoff probability provided by Fear the Fin, based on the Score-Adjusted Fenwick first published by Broad Street Hockey’s Eric T. As you’ll see, the Score-Adjusted Fenwick diverges rather strongly in some spots from what our power ranking formula shows, as some teams are much better when leading or trailing by one than they are when tied, and vice versa.

The new formula still includes adjusted points per game (regulation wins count for two while games going to overtime count for one) and five-on-five goal ratio, but it now includes the fenwick tied percentages. All three are weighted to give more importance to Fenwick tied, then to five-on-five ratio, and lastly to adjusted points per game.

Here we go:

Eastern Conference

This WeekLast WeekRationale
Rating
Bruins_medium
1 2 The Bruins just passed the one year anniversary of the day Marc Savard's life changed. (Playoff Probability 100%) 1.098
Rangers_medium
2 1
New York is starting to get what they paid for out of Brad Richards. (Playoff Probability 100%) 1.088
Penguins_medium
3 4 The Penguins look to get Sidney Crosby back, and thoughts of Malkin/Crosby/Staal has fans excited. (Playoff Probability 100%) 1.036
Flyers_medium 4
3 Philadelphia is looking at yet another college free agent, J.T. Brown. (Playoff Probability 100%) 1.015
Senators_medium 5
5
The Senators are almost guaranteed a playoff spot, yet they still can't help looking ahead toward the draft. (Playoff Probability 95.8%) 0.959
Capitals_medium 6
6 Washington lost Mike Green to a 3 game suspension. (Playoff Probability 62.0%) 0.959
Devils_medium
7
8 The Devils may have the Calder Trophy winner in Adam Henrique. (Playoff Probability 99.8%) 0.935
Jets_medium
8
7 Winnipeg is starting to love Tanner Glass. It should be contagious. (Playoff Probability 30.3%) 0.913
Panthers_medium 9
9 The Panthers are leading the Southeast Division. Mock the Division, they're in 3rd in the Conference. (Playoff Probability 78.0%) 0.899
Lightning_medium 10
10
Tampa Bay has goaltending problems. Here are many new ways to judge exactly that. (Playoff Probability 7.6%) 0.884
Sabres_medium
11
12 The Sabres are spreading their difficult minutes by not letting many people take them on. (Playoff Probability 18.0%) 0.874
Hurricanes_medium
12
13
Carolina went 1-1-2 in four road games last week. And they improved on their ranking. (Playoff Probability 1.2%) 0.861
Maple_leafs_medium 13
11
The Maple Leafs are once again looking at a top-10 draft pick. That could be okay. (Playoff Probability 5.9%) 0.859
Canadiens_medium 14 14 Montreal is already preparing for yet another GM. (Playoff Probability 0.1%) 0.845
Islanders_medium 15 15 The Islanders are watching MIchael Grabner take fewer shots. That's slightly troubling. (Playoff Probability 0.4%) 0.798

Western Conference


This WeekLast WeekRationale
Rating
Red_wings_medium 1 1 The Red Wings need to remind themselves that Ken Holland knows what he's doing. You should remind yourself too. (Playoff Probability 100%) 1.223
Blues_medium 2 2 St. Louis is playing really, really well right now. So much so that they have to keep an even keel. (Playoff Probability 100%) 1.203
Canucks_medium 3
3 The Canucks are struggling with complacency and expectations. (Playoff Probability 100%) 1.053
Sharks_medium 4
4 San Jose is struggling to stay in the playoff picture and Jeremy Roenick is still calling out Patrick Marleau. (Playoff Probability 68.9%) 0.992
Predators_medium 5
5 The Predators are getting excited about former first round pick Alexander Radulov possibly coming over to the NHL. (Playoff Probability 99.6%)
0.968
Blackhawks_medium 6
6
Chicago is hoping to get Jonathan Toews back soon and it's looking like they will. (Playoff Probability 94.4%) 0.961
Coyotes_medium 7
7 The Coyotes have been getting great goaltending from Mike Smith all year, and he was named one of the NHL's three stars of February. (Playoff Probability 61.3%) 0.960
Stars_medium 8
8
Dallas got a boost as their Captain Brendan Morrow returned from injury. (Playoff Probability 91.2%) 0.957
Kings_medium 9
9
The Kings have seen their goals for spike and their goals against plummet in the small-sample-size of post-Johnson for Carter. (Playoff Probability 31.3%) 0.912
Avalanche_medium 10
10
Colorado has a chance to sneak into the playoffs, but it won't be easy. (Playoff Probability 34.4%) 0.893
Flames_medium
11
12
The Flames also have a chance to make the playoffs. It's an even smaller chance, but it's there. (Playoff Probability 18.4%) 0.883
Ducks_medium
12
11
Anaheim is without Corey Perry after Stephane Robidas hit him into the boards awkwardly. (Playoff Probability 0.3%) 0.879
Oilers_medium 13
13
The Oilers celebrate year two - that's it?? - of their rebuilding plan. (Playoff Probability 0%) 0.821
Wild_medium 14
14
Minnesota has a clear goal: "Don't win, but don't look stupid losing." (Playoff Probability 0.3%) 0.784
Blue_jackets_medium 15 15 The Blue Jackets are considering their options with the first overall pick, including... trading it? (Playoff Probability 0%) 0.742

Continue

NHL Power Rankings Week 18: Coyotes Make a Move, Blues Still Atop NHL

Apologies for missing last week, moving out of state threw a wrench in my plans.

This week, Phoenix jumped up four spots while New Jersey moved up two.

The new formula still includes adjusted points per game (regulation wins count for two while games going to overtime count for one) and five-on-five goal ratio, but it now includes the fenwick tied percentages. All three are weighted to give more importance to Fenwick tied, then to five-on-five ratio, and lastly to adjusted points per game.

Here we go:

Eastern Conference

This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Bruins_medium 1 1 The Bruins remain in first despite going 0-1-1 last week, including a 6-0 loss to Buffalo. (Playoff Probability 99%) 1.177
Rangers_medium 2 2
New York is the latest team to entertain the possibility of trading for Jeff Carter. (Playoff Probability 99%) 1.127
Flyers_medium 3 3
The Flyers have been losing lately and Kimmo Timonen is decidedly not happy. (Playoff Probability 95%)
1.005
Penguins_medium 4
4
Pittsburgh saw Jordan Staal score in his return from a knee injury. (Playoff Probability 96%) 0.980
Capitals_medium 5
5
The Capitals are left hoping that Nicklas Backstrom can return before the playoffs. (Playoff Probability 65%) 0.956
Maple_leafs_medium 6
6
Toronto is stalling and wondering if they need to make a move. (Playoff Probability 57%) 0.937
Canadiens_medium 7
8
The Canadiens had a pretty bad first half, so it's worth looking at what went wrong. (Playoff Probability 9%) 0.921
Panthers_medium 8
9
Florida has a favorable schedule ahead of them, making a Southeast Division title possible. (Playoff Probability 87%) 0.918
Senators_medium 9
7
The Senators are seeing coach MacLean use Daniel Alfredsson in optimal situations. (Playoff Probability 54%) 0.914
Devils_medium 10
12
New Jersey is wondering what will happen during their playoff push. (Playoff Probability 89%) 0.898
Lightning_medium 11
11
The Lightning went 1-2-1 last week, only managing a 2-1 win over Buffalo. (Playoff Probability 13%) 0.891
Jets_medium 12
10
Winnipeg may be the healthiest they've been all season. (Playoff Probability 22%) 0.874
Sabres_medium 13
13
The Sabres have seen Ryan Miller go on a tear of late, making 7 goals in 5 games enough to get 7 points. (Playoff Probability 6%) 0.855
Hurricanes_medium 14 14 Carolina went out West and lost overtime games to Anaheim and Colorado. (Playoff Probability 1%) 0.844
Islanders_medium 15 15 The Islanders aren't going to make the playoffs, so they should trade goalie Evgeni Nabokov. (Playoff Probability 6%) 0.808

Western Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Blues_medium 1 1
The Blues are in love with themselves. For good reason, actually. (Playoff Probability 99%) 1.231
Red_wings_medium 2 2 Detroit has now won 20 straight home games. Asterisk or no, that's impressive. (Playoff Probability 99%)
1.205
Sharks_medium 3
3
The Sharks have seen their power play regress, and why that's good. (Playoff Probability 94%) 1.080
Canucks_medium 4
4
Vancouver went 1-0-2 last week, splitting the two shootouts they played. (Playoff Probability 99%) 1.051
Coyotes_medium 5
9
The Coyotes may see Jeremy Roenick as a savior of their days in Phoenix. (Playoff Probability 98.3%)
0.965
Blackhawks_medium 6
5
Chicago is reeling, but there's some simple solutions. (Playoff Probability 62%) 0.956
Predators_medium 7
6
The Predators were not happy with their effort against Boston.(Playoff Probability 95%) 0.942
Stars_medium 8
7
Dallas is seeing Alex Goligoski start to rack up the points, comforting with his new contract. (Playoff Probability 38%) 0.919
Kings_medium 9
8
The Kings may be running out of patience with Dean Lombardi. (Playoff Probability 52%) 0.915
Flames_medium 10
10
Calgary is told Mikael Backlund is a bust. Calgary proceeds to explain why that is ludicrous. (Playoff Probability 42%) 0.866
Wild_medium 11
11
The Wild still can't decide if they're buying or selling. Still? (Playoff Probability 24%) 0.859
Ducks_medium 12
13
Anaheim saw GM Bob Murray take a thinly veiled shot at Brian Burke, claiming Burke left the system in shambles. (Playoff Probability 3%) 0.845
Avalanche_medium 13
12
The Avalanche don't expect to be very active at the deadline, setting up a fairly similar team next year. (Playoff Probability 32%) 0.844
Oilers_medium 14
14
Edmonton resigned Andy Sutton, presumably taking another defenseman off the trade block. (Playoff Probability 2%) 0.814
Blue_jackets_medium 15 15 The Blue Jackets aren't helping Ryan Johansen in his rookie year, suggesting the whole team is just miserable. (Playoff Probability 0%) 0.740

Continue

NHL Power Rankings Week 16: Red Wings Fall, Blues Up Top in the West

This week, Montreal's 7-2 romp of Detroit results in the Red Wings falling out of first for the first time in over two months.

New this week are Playoff Probabilities according to Fear the Fin, listed in our rationale. These probabilities are based on the Score-Adjusted Fenwick published by Broad Street Hockey's Eric T. As you'll see, the Score-Adjusted Fenwick diverges rather strongly in some spots from what our power ranking formula shows, as some teams are much better when leading or trailing by one than they are when tied, and vice versa.

The new formula still includes adjusted points per game (regulation wins count for two while games going to overtime count for one) and five-on-five goal ratio, but it now includes the fenwick tied percentages. All three are weighted to give more importance to Fenwick tied, then to five-on-five ratio, and lastly to adjusted points per game.

Here we go:

Eastern Conference

This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Bruins_medium 1 1 The Bruins may not even entertain the possibility of trading Tim Thomas, but their fans are. (Playoff Probability 99.8%) 1.270
Rangers_medium 2 2
New York is showing how deep their blueline is. (Playoff Probability 98.5%) 1.125
Flyers_medium 3 3
The Flyers are getting more than they expected out of Max Talbot. (Playoff Probability 98.4%)
1.014
Penguins_medium 4
4
Pittsburgh has an underrated player in Chris Kunitz. (Playoff Probability 99.1%) 0.993
Capitals_medium 5
6
The Capitals may not be as good as they appear here, but that Southeast Division sure is helping them. (Playoff Probability 63.0%) 0.966
Maple_leafs_medium 6
7
Toronto is getting more out of Joffrey Lupul than they could have expected, especially when you consider how terrifying his illness was. (Playoff Probability 52.9%) 0.944
Senators_medium 7
5
The Senators may be interested in acquiring Jeff Carter. They do need a top-six scorer. (Playoff Probability 73.5%) 0.942
Canadiens_medium 8
10
Montreal made a large jump mostly because they destroyed the Red Wings right before the All-Star Break. (Playoff Probability 17.1%) 0.911
Panthers_medium 9
9
The Panthers have rather high odds of making the playoffs, mostly thanks to their weak division. (Playoff Probability 67.7%) 0.895
Jets_medium 10
10
Winnipeg was outscored 5-1 in two losses last week, but they have an outside shot to sneak into the playoffs. (Playoff Probability 35.2%) 0.878
Lightning_medium 11
12
The Lightning are going to be good sooner than later, so all those abandoning ship should think before leaving. (Playoff Probability 8.9%) 0.876
Devils_medium 12
11
New Jersey has a Zach Parise problem, but they'd be stupid to trade him this year. (Playoff Probability 70.8%) 0.875
Sabres_medium 13
13
The Sabres are left wondering what is wrong with their team. The answer is: "a lot." (Playoff Probability 3.3%) 0.819
Hurricanes_medium 14 15 Carolina extended Tim Gleason with a four year, $16 million deal, likely removing him from the trading block. (Playoff Probability 2.0%) 0.811
Islanders_medium 15 14 The Islanders have learned that Evgeni Nabokov prefers one-on-one situations. (Playoff Probability 9.7%) 0.800

Western Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Blues_medium 1 2
The Blues lost to Detroit 3-1, and yet still moved ahead of them. They can thank Montreal. (Playoff Probability 99.9%) 1.206
Red_wings_medium 2 1 Detroit falls out of first in the West for the first time since week 6. A 7-2 loss to Montreal will do that. (Playoff Probability 99.9%)
1.204
Sharks_medium 3
3
The Sharks have a much improved fourth line this year, and it will help them down the stretch. (Playoff Probability 97.9%) 1.081
Canucks_medium 4
4
Vancouver is curious how they can get better. Scary. (Playoff Probability 99.1%) 1.056
Blackhawks_medium 5
5
The Blackhawks have a new centerman, but Brendan Morrison isn't exactly a difference maker. (Playoff Probability 98.3%)
1.014
Predators_medium 6
8
Nashville is now faced with Ryan Suter refusing to sign an extension before the trade deadline. GM David Poile is in a tough spot. (Playoff Probability 74.9%) 0.936
Stars_medium 7
6
The Stars no longer have any excuses: It's time to win some hockey games. (Playoff Probability 48.7%) 0.927
Kings_medium 8
9
Los Angeles needs a scorer, but who is going to be their trade bait? (Playoff Probability 78.3%) 0.925
Coyotes_medium 9
7
The Coyotes take a stumble despite beating Ottawa 3-2, and they face a difficult road to the playoffs. (Playoff Probability 23.6%) 0.921
Flames_medium 10
10
Calgary is entertaining the possibility of adding Jeff Carter to their team. What does Jarome Iginla think? (Playoff Probability 16.6%) 0.874
Wild_medium 11
11
The Wild got Guillaume Latendresse back at practice, which will help. (Playoff Probability 19.4%) 0.871
Avalanche_medium 12
12
Colorado has a good chance at making the playoffs, but they still don't know if they will be buying or selling at the deadline. (Playoff Probability 42.0%) 0.844
Ducks_medium 13
13
The Ducks have less than a one percent chance of making the playoffs even after an 8-1-1 run. (Playoff Probability 0.9%) 0.819
Oilers_medium 14
14
Edmonton is stuck in a never-ending rebuild. That must be extremely frustrating. (Playoff Probability 0.5%) 0.798
Blue_jackets_medium 15 15 The Blue Jackets did not make the playoffs once under Fear the Fin's simulations, but they did see their owner write an apology letter to their fans. (Playoff Probability 0.0%) 0.755

Continue

NHL Power Rankings Week 15: Nashville Leaps Up While Boston Survives Gauntlet

This week, Nashville shot up four spots to number eight while both Ottawa and Anaheim moved up two positions.

The new formula still includes adjusted points per game (regulation wins count for two while games going to overtime count for one) and five-on-five goal ratio, but it now includes the fenwick tied percentages. All three are weighted to give more importance to Fenwick tied, then to five-on-five ratio, and lastly to adjusted points per game.

Here we go:

Eastern Conference

This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Bruins_medium 1 1 The Bruins got through a tough weekend with back-to-back games against the Rangers and Flyers, but lost Nathan Horton to a concussion.
1.305
Rangers_medium 2 2
New York is still suffering in possession metrics due to a bad start to the year, but they are improving quickly.
1.093
Flyers_medium 3 3
The Flyers added Danny Briere to their list of concussed players, but they still keep winning.
1.011
Penguins_medium 4
4
Pittsburgh is all about Evgeni Malkin right now. The NHL's first star of the week had 5 goals and 2 assists (plus two shootout goals) in four games.
0.994
Senators_medium 5
7
The Senators are already looking towards an easier schedule after the break and the sixth seed in the East.
0.963
Capitals_medium 6
6
Washington is barely hanging onto the final playoff spot in the East and part of the problem is their road record.
0.955
Maple_leafs_medium 7
5
The Maple Leafs got a hat trick out of Lee Stempniak, and the internet got to laugh at his crazy, angry brother.
0.922
Jets_medium 8
8
Winnipeg went 2-1-1 against some mediocre teams, but a 5-1 loss to New Jersey looks bad.
0.902
Panthers_medium 9
9
The Panthers went 0-1-3, taking Boston to a shootout and winning one against Winnipeg.
0.899
Canadiens_medium 10
10
Montreal got three points over the weekend, beating Toronto and losing to Pittsburgh in a shootout, salvaging their dim playoff hopes.
0.894
Devils_medium 11
12
The Devils acquired oft-traveled Alexei Ponikarovsky and saw him score in his first game for New Jersey.
0.876
Lightning_medium 12
13
Tampa Bay went 3-0-0 last week, beating Boston, Dallas, and Phoenix. That's a very good week for a struggling Tampa Bay team.
0.866
Sabres_medium 13
11
The Sabres need to win 60% of their remaining games just to have a 35% chance of making the playoffs. Math sucks sometimes.
0.817
Islanders_medium 14 15 New York believes John Tavares is one of the NHL's 25 best players under 25, and here's a good rebuttal for why he should be included.
0.814
Hurricanes_medium 15 14 The Hurricanes had a good week, going 2-0-2 despite only scoring seven goals all week.
0.802

Western Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Red_wings_medium 1 1
The Red Wings beat the Blues 3-1 last night, but it was their fans who got to laugh at crazy things said by Blues fans all week.
1.240
Blues_medium 2 2 St. Louis went 3-1-0 last week, only losing to Detroit last night. Still the second best team in the West.
1.224
Sharks_medium 3
3
The Sharks are getting points against playoff teams at a better rate than any Western Conference team not in Minnesota.
1.074
Canucks_medium 4
4
Vancouver doesn't like to admit that Roberto Luongo is a very good goaltender, but it's still true.
1.052
Blackhawks_medium 5
5
The Blackhawks went 2-1-0 last week, beating up on Buffalo and Florida, but losing big to Nashville.
1.027
Stars_medium 6
6
Dallas just signed Alex Goligoski to a four year contract worth $4.6 million per season.
0.918
Coyotes_medium 7
7
The Coyotes went 1-2-1 last week and now sit in 12th place in the West. They're better than that.
0.912
Predators_medium 8
12
Nashville went 4-1-0 last week, outscoring their opposition 15-4 in their wins (they lost to the Rangers 3-0), and saw Kevin Klein score on a knuckler from the blueline.
0.912
Kings_medium 9
8
The Kings are currently in 7th in the West, and they also happen to be on the necessary pace to make the playoffs.
0.910
Flames_medium 10
9
Calgary still thinks they could make the playoffs, but at least that's better than thinking they could compete in the playoffs.
0.885
Wild_medium 11
10
The Wild are finally talking about who to dump at the trade deadline.
0.866
Avalanche_medium 12
12
Colorado went 1-2-1 last week, beating the Kings in regulation and Florida in overtime.
0.845
Ducks_medium 13
15
The Ducks have not lost in regulation in 8 games, but they're so far back, they still have no shot of making the playoffs.
0.837
Oilers_medium 14
13
Edmonton thinks they've got all of the pieces to make a run at the playoffs. Yes, that's almost a direct quote.
0.799
Blue_jackets_medium 15 14 The Blue Jackets are sticking with the two men at the top of their organization, even if most don't understand why.
0.767

Continue

NHL Power Rankings Week 14: Bruins and Rangers Poised For Saturday Showdown

This week, Nashville made a big jump up in the West while Toronto fell two spots in the East.

The new formula still includes adjusted points per game (regulation wins count for two while games going to overtime count for one) and five-on-five goal ratio, but it now includes the fenwick tied percentages. All three are weighted to give more importance to Fenwick tied, then to five-on-five ratio, and lastly to adjusted points per game.

Here we go:

Eastern Conference

This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Bruins_medium 1 1 The Bruins are still playing fantastic hockey, but what's even scarier is looking at the spare parts hitting free agency this summer.
1.357
Rangers_medium 2 2
New York is in first place in the East, but with a date against Boston on the horizon, they need to stay focused.
1.109
Flyers_medium 3 3
The Flyers have been getting some big contributions out of Sean Couturier lately.
1.022
Penguins_medium 4
4
Pittsburgh is doing well, but they're injured. Imagine if they weren't.
0.978
Capitals_medium 5
6
The Capitals went 3-1-0 last week (but just got shutout by the Islanders Tuesday night), giving Caps fans some hope.
0.960
Senators_medium 6
7
Ottawa is making a charge up the standings, thanks in large part to Craig Anderson.
0.952
Maple_leafs_medium 7
5
The Maple Leafs stumbled a bit, going 1-2-0 last week. The 3-2 loss to the Sabres hurts.
0.935
Jets_medium 8
8
Winnipeg has turned out to be a surprisingly average NHL team, which is certainly better than not having a team at all.
0.911
Panthers_medium 9
9
The Panthers went 1-1-1 last week, but it has to be considered a positive when playing Vancouver, Pittsburgh, and Boston.
0.908
Canadiens_medium 10
10
Montreal sees their fans giving up on the season with them 8 points out of a playoff spot.
0.889
Devils_medium 11
12
The Devils are struggling, so it's time they start to consider what they could get for Zach Parise.
0.871
Sabres_medium 12
11
Buffalo is in a tailspin, going 1-5-1 in their last seven, getting shutout three times in that span.
0.855
Lightning_medium 13
13
The Lightning are facing demands to overhaul their organization, but Steve Yzerman was brought in for just that. Tampa needs patience.
0.822
Hurricanes_medium 14 14 Carolina went 2-2 last week, understandable with games against Philly, Boston, and Washington. A good week for them.
0.797
Islanders_medium 15 15 The Islanders saw Rick DiPietro hurt himself while on IR, and will miss the rest of the season after abdominal surgery.
0.783

Western Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Red_wings_medium 1 1
The Red Wings went 1-1-2 last week, which makes them 2-2-3 over the last two. SLUMP!
1.252
Blues_medium 2 2 St. Louis saw T.J. Oshie score a beautiful goal en route to a 2-1-1 week.
1.196
Sharks_medium 3
3
The Sharks have a few weaknesses, but when you list them next to the positives? They're minor complaints.
1.129
Canucks_medium 4
4
Vancouver is turning on Ryan Kesler, but luckily there's a voice of reason anger to tell people to knock it off.
1.044
Blackhawks_medium 5
5
The Blackhawks went 3-0-1 last week, beating up on Minnesota and Columbus before beating S.J. and losing to Detroit in OT.
1.014
Stars_medium 6
6
Dallas is starting to fear for their playoff lives, since effort isn't enough in their roller-coaster season.
0.951
Coyotes_medium 7
7
The Coyotes are in a bit of a slide, going 1-1-2 last week and only winning twice in the last eleven tries, but it's not time to panic yet.
0.939
Kings_medium 8
8
Los Angeles went 2-0-2, which helps keep them in the playoff picture, but an OT loss to Edmonton kept this from being a great week.
0.915
Predators_medium 9
12
The Predators made a big jump, going 3-0-1 last week thanks two three games against the Avalanche and Islanders. Still, get those points.
0.904
Flames_medium 10
9
Calgary reacquired Mike Cammalleri after the Canadiens exiled him. The hope is that he helps them at least make the playoffs.
0.877
Wild_medium 11
10
The Wild keep falling and their once-optimistic fans are now resigned to the fact that the season is over and trades need to happen.
0.865
Avalanche_medium 12
11
Colorado went 1-2-1 last week against Nashville, Dallas, and Phoenix, failing to show they belong on the playoff bubble.
0.830
Oilers_medium 13
13
The Oilers went 0-1-2 on a three-game homestand against New Jersey, Anaheim, and L.A. That's not good at all.
0.829
Ducks_medium 14
15
Anaheim went 3-0-1 last week with a big win over Vancouver. It was enough to surpass Columbus.
0.792
Blue_jackets_medium 15 14 The Blue Jackets are really struggling, and for those who are visual learners, here is a great look at why.
0.764

Continue

NHL Power Rankings Week 13: Injuries Poised to Shakeup Stagnant Standings

This week, Toronto and Montreal made the biggest moves while the only movement in the West was Colorado and Edmonton trading places.

The new formula still includes adjusted points per game (regulation wins count for two while games going to overtime count for one) and five-on-five goal ratio, but it now includes the fenwick tied percentages. All three are weighted to give more importance to Fenwick tied, then to five-on-five ratio, and lastly to adjusted points per game.

Here we go:

Eastern Conference

This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Bruins_medium 1 1 The Bruins lost to Vancouver and lost Brad Marchand to a five-game suspension. But they are so far and away the best team in the East, they'll just keep going.
1.418
Rangers_medium 2 2
New York just got even better than they already have been: Marc Staal returned from his concussion.
1.143
Flyers_medium 3 3
The Flyers saw Danny Briere score a hat trick to win in overtime Saturday, after he got in his third fight of his career.
1.015
Penguins_medium 4
4
Pittsburgh got even more bad news this week, as both Jordan Staal and James Neal will be out "weeks".
0.977
Maple_leafs_medium 5
8
The Maple Leafs made a big move up, going 3-0 and beating Tampa and Winnipeg by a combined 11-3. Oh, they also beat Detroit 4-3.
0.958
Capitals_medium 6
6
Washington stayed put as they beat Calgary 3-1 but lost to San Jose 5-2.
0.954
Senators_medium 7
9
The Senators collected three points in a weekend set against the Flyers, moving them up two spots.
0.939
Jets_medium 8
5
Winnipeg only scored five goals in their last three games, which included a 2-1 overtime win against Buffalo and a 7-3 loss to Montreal.
0.926
Panthers_medium 9
7
The Panthers fell this week and they continue to struggle, going 1-2-1 in their last four.
0.917
Canadiens_medium 10
13
Montreal makes a move up thanks to a 7-3 beating of the Jets.
0.902
Sabres_medium 11
12
The Sabres may be better off without Derek Roy.
0.889
Devils_medium 12
10
New Jersey has seen David Clarkson be a huge contributor this season. I know because he's on my fantasy teams.
0.875
Lightning_medium 13
11
The Lightning may think they just need a better goalie (again), but it's much more complicated than that.
0.839
Hurricanes_medium 14 15 Carolina lost to the Islanders in a shootout but still continued to alternate the final two positions here.
0.787
Islanders_medium 15 14 The Islanders lost Rick DiPietro to injury again... while he was already on injured reserve.
0.751

Western Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Red_wings_medium 1 1
The Red Wings went 1-1-1, a bad week for them, but still have a comfortable lead out West.
1.281
Blues_medium 2 3 St. Louis went 3-0 last week, scoring four goals in each game while giving up only four combined.
1.167
Sharks_medium 3
2
The Sharks went 3-0-1 but fell a spot anyway. Rough.
1.159
Canucks_medium 4
4
Vancouver beat Boston 4-3 in Boston and they are still celebrating.
1.089
Blackhawks_medium 5
5
The Blackhawks will be without Patrick Sharp for 3-4 weeks as he injured his wrist.
0.994
Stars_medium 6
6
Dallas may be without Mike Ribeiro for a little while, which is bad news for for the Stars as they try to build off three straight four-goal games.
0.975
Coyotes_medium 7
7
The Coyotes saw Shane Doan score his first ever NHL hat trick last week. How did this guy not get one before then??
0.930
Kings_medium 8
8
Los Angeles is stuck debating whether their glass is half-full or half-empty. A 52.24% Fenwick tied suggests half-full.
0.888
Flames_medium 9
9
The Flames saw Jarome Iginla score his 500th NHL goal last week. Good for one of the most underrated players in the League.
0.862
Wild_medium 10
10
Minnesota is having such a hard time scoring goals, they are being compared to the Loch Ness Monster. 0.860
Avalanche_medium 11
13
The Avalanche were the only team to move up in the West, but Erik Johnson hurt his hand and is day-to-day.
0.858
Predators_medium 12
12
Nashville will be prepared to trade Ryan Suter if it appears unlikely he will re-sign.
0.857
Oilers_medium 13
11
The Oilers went 1-3 last week, falling back to where they spent most of last season. Such is life in a rebuild.
0.837
Blue_jackets_medium 14
14
Columbus finally fired their coach, but they replaced him with Todd Richards, who was fired from Minnesota
0.756
Ducks_medium 15 15 The Ducks announced that almost everybody on their team is available on the trade market. Naturally, teams are salivating.
0.722

Continue

NHL Power Rankings Week 11: First Major Shakeup of the Year

This week, Toronto, Washington, and Dallas made big moves up the rankings while Montreal, Minnesota, and Florida took large falls.

The new formula still includes adjusted points per game (regulation wins count for two while games going to overtime count for one) and five-on-five goal ratio, but it now includes the fenwick tied percentages. All three are weighted to give more importance to Fenwick tied, then to five-on-five ratio, and lastly to adjusted points per game.

Here we go:

Eastern Conference

This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Bruins_medium 1 1 The Bruins strengthened their spot atop the NHL with an 8-0 win over Florida on Friday.
1.347
Rangers_medium 2 3
New York went 3-0-0 against the tri-state teams, winning by a combined 12-5. Solid week for them.
1.130
Flyers_medium 3 2
The Flyers went 1-1-1 on the road, slipping back to the #3 spot.
1.068
Penguins_medium 4
4
Pittsburgh went 2-0-0, staying in the fourth spot for the fourth straight week.
0.999
Maple_leafs_medium 5
9
The Maple Leafs made a big jump this week thanks to a 2-0-1 week.
0.949
Capitals_medium 6
10
Washington also made a big jump despite only going 1-0-1.
0.942
Jets_medium 7
8
The Jets went 1-1-1 and still moved up a spot, mostly because...
0.938
Panthers_medium 8
5
Florida went 0-2-1 including an 8-0 blowout loss to Boston.
0.931
Sabres_medium 9
7
The Sabres went 0-2-0, getting outscored 7-3 by Toronto and Ottawa.
0.898
Senators_medium 10
12
Ottawa went 1-0-2, missing a chance to move up even further by losing 2-1 in overtime to Carolina.
0.893
Canadiens_medium 11
6
The Canadiens plummeted after getting outscored 12-3 in three straight regulation losses.
0.866
Devils_medium 12
11
New Jersey managed to beat the Capitals in a shootout after blowing a 3-0 lead, while also losing to the Rangers 4-1.
0.858
Lightning_medium 13
13
The Lightning gave up 7 to San Jose before losing to Colorado in overtime.
0.813
Hurricanes_medium 14 15 Carolina didn't get a regulation win last week, but still got out of the cellar.
0.773
Islanders_medium 15 14 The Islanders went 0-3-1, falling back to last for the first time in a month.
0.763

Western Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Red_wings_medium 1 1
The Red Wings went 1-2-0 last week, but still sit atop the West thanks to a superior goal ratio and Fenwick ratio.
1.240
Blues_medium 2 2 St. Louis played two straight 3-2 games, beating Phoenix but losing to Colorado.
1.206
Sharks_medium 3
3
The Sharks played two struggling teams, needing a shootout to get past L.A. but stomping Tampa Bay 7-2.
1.154
Canucks_medium 4
4
Vancouver is now just one point out of the division lead, about to return the NHL standings to normalcy.
1.083
Blackhawks_medium 5
5
The Blackhawks are atop the West in points and Fenwick tied percentage, but they are fifth here due to a mediocre five-on-five ratio and fewer regulation wins.
1.044
Stars_medium 6
9
Dallas made a big jump after going 2-1-0 last week.
0.958
Coyotes_medium 7
7
The Coyotes went 2-1-0 (all one-goal games) last week, playing St. Louis close, staying in 7th place.
0.933
Oilers_medium 8
8
Edmonton played as expected last week, beating Minnesota but losing to Detroit.
0.924
Flames_medium 9
11
The Flames won all three games last week, beating Vancouver, Detroit, and Minnesota. A very good week in Calgary.
0.921
Wild_medium 10
6
Minnesota tumbled after losing all four games in regulation, getting outscored 14-4. You could blame injuries or you could blame regression. Time will tell.
0.894
Predators_medium 11
10
The Predators lost to Washington and Dallas while needing a comeback from 4-1 to beat Columbus. Bad week in Nashville.
0.873
Kings_medium 12
12
Los Angeles played three shootouts last week. Playing Anaheim, Toronto, and San Jose, the Kings needed better.
0.835
Avalanche_medium 13
13
The Avalanche went 2-0-2 last week, beating St. Louis and Minnesota. It was a good week and they improved by 0.04 here, but they were really far behind.
0.822
Blue_jackets_medium 14
14
Columbus only played one game last week, they lead 4-1 after 25 minutes of play, and still managed to lose 6-5.
0.732
Ducks_medium 15 15 The Ducks went 0-1-1 last week, and only have two regulation wins in December. Rough.
0.710

Continue

NHL Power Rankings Week 10: Familiar Names Sit at the Top

This week, Florida, Nashville, and Winnipeg each moved up two spots while Washington, Edmonton, and Calgary each fell two spots.

The new formula still includes adjusted points per game (regulation wins count for two while games going to overtime count for one) and five-on-five goal ratio, but it now includes the fenwick tied percentages. All three are weighted to give more importance to Fenwick tied, then to five-on-five ratio, and lastly to adjusted points per game.

Here we go:

Eastern Conference

This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Bruins_medium 1 1 The Bruins continue to lead the NHL, and a 6-0 win in Philadelphia went a long way toward ensuring they stay there.
1.317
Flyers_medium 2 3
Philadelphia moved up one spot largely due to having more regulation wins than the Rangers. Otherwise, the two teams are quite similar.
1.093
Rangers_medium 3 2
The Rangers drop out of the top two for the first time since Week 6.
1.068
Penguins_medium 4
4
Pittsburgh holds tight to the fourth spot, but there's definitely a gap between them and the top three.
0.984
Panthers_medium 5
7
The Panthers move back up two spots after falling two spots last week despite needing overtime in all three games last week.
0.959
Canadiens_medium 6
5
Montreal has a new coach, so maybe he can improve their 7-4-7 record in one-goal games.
0.940
Sabres_medium 7
6
The Sabres just missed out on maintaining the sixth spot, but the 8-3 loss in Pittsburgh ensured that wouldn't happen.
0.939
Jets_medium 8
10
Winnipeg continues to surprise as they are hanging around the playoff bubble. That has more to do with Montreal and Washington's struggles, but still. Not a bad team.
0.922
Maple_leafs_medium 9
9
The Maple Leafs sit 18th in Fenwick tied and 14th in five-on-five ratio. Pretty average team up in Toronto.
0.920
Capitals_medium 10
8
Washington drops two spots as they could only score three goals in three games last week. These aren't your Capitals of two years ago.
0.915
Devils_medium 11
12
The Devils have the 9th best Fenwick tied ratio in the league, but they are 24th in five-on-five ratio.
0.879
Senators_medium 12
11
Ottawa went 1-1-1 last week, but are still 21st in five-on-five ratio and 16th in Fenwick tied.
0.869
Lightning_medium 13
13
The Lightning continue to disappoint, sitting 26th in Fenwick tied and 22nd in five-on-five ratio. Not good in Tampa.
0.825
Islanders_medium 14 14 New York went 0-2-1 last week, but they beat the Wild in the shootout.
0.789
Hurricanes_medium 15 15 The Hurricanes went 1-0-2 last week, beating Vancouver in regulation. That's impressive for them. 
0.753

 

Western Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Red_wings_medium 1 1
The Red Wings beat Pittsburgh and L.A. by a combined score of 12-3, but lost to Nashville 4-3. Ho hum.
1.269
Blues_medium 2 2 St. Louis continues to impress, as they did before Hitchcock was hired. They went 2-0-1 last week.
1.235
Sharks_medium 3
3
The Sharks went 2-0-1 last week, further cementing themselves among the West's best teams.
1.123
Canucks_medium 4
4
Vancouver went 1-1-1 on a three game road trip against average-to-bad teams, but managed to stay in 4th.
1.086
Blackhawks_medium 5
5
The Blackhawks continue to win, going 2-0-1 last week, with Ray Emery winning each of his last five games.
1.023
Wild_medium 6
7
Minnesota moves up a spot again despite going 0-1-2 last week. They have four straight division games this week, three of which are on the road.
0.953
Coyotes_medium 7
8
The Coyotes went 1-2 last week, but still moved up a spot. They will face Florida, Carolina, St. Louis, and L.A. this week.
0.952
Oilers_medium 8
6
Edmonton dropped two spots after losing to Phoenix and San Jose last week. They sit 13th in Fenwick tied and 11th in five-on-five ratio.
0.929
Stars_medium 9
10
The Stars went 2-1 in their swing through New York and New Jersey, but they are still a middle of the pack team.
0.926
Predators_medium 10
12
Nashville went 2-0-1 last week, beating Detroit in regulation and St. Louis in a shootout. Good week for them, though they are still 28th in Fenwick tied.
0.899
Flames_medium 11
9
The Flames went 0-2-2 on the road last week, scoring a total of 9 goals.
0.882
Kings_medium 12
11
Los Angeles has a new coach, but after getting outscored 12-4 last week (thanks, Detroit), they have a long way to go.
0.832
Avalanche_medium 13
13
The Avalanche aren't much different from L.A., except for regulation wins.
0.782
Blue_jackets_medium 14
14
Columbus beat Vancouver in a shootout, but lost their other three games in regulation. Averaging two goals a game won't cut it.
0.741
Ducks_medium 15 15 The Ducks beat Phoenix 4-1. They then lost to Chicago and Winnipeg by a combined 9-4. Progress?
0.711

Continue

NHL Power Rankings Week 9: The Blues Need More Attention

This week, Montreal and Minnesota moved up two spots each while Florida, Phoenix, and Dallas each fell two spots.

The new formula still includes adjusted points per game (regulation wins count for two while games going to overtime count for one) and five-on-five goal ratio, but it now includes the fenwick tied percentages. All three are weighted to give more importance to Fenwick tied, then to five-on-five ratio, and lastly to adjusted points per game.

Here we go:

Eastern Conference

This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Bruins_medium 1 1 The Bruins sit atop the East again, continuing to have the best 5-on-5 ratio in the league.
1.239
Rangers_medium 2 2
New York is still in second despite the fifth worst Fenwick tied ratio. They can thank Henrik Lundqvist and his 0.932 save percentage.
1.095
Flyers_medium 3 3
The Flyers have the seventh worst Fenwick tied ratio, but are scoring on 10.1% of their shots. That will certainly help.
1.080
Penguins_medium 4
4
Pittsburgh rounds out the unchanged top of the East, being buoyed by the 6th highest Fenwick tied ratio.
1.007
Canadiens_medium 5
7
The Canadiens are outscoring their opponents at 5-on-5 and just barely losing the shot battle with the score tied. But they only have 11 regulation wins.
0.980
Sabres_medium 6
6
Buffalo was not much different from Philly last week, but that's no longer true as their 5-on-5 ratio has slipped.
0.960
Panthers_medium 7
5
The Panthers took a tumble despite going 2-1-1. They no longer are outscoring their opposition at 5-on-5.
0.956
Capitals_medium 8
8
Washington continues to sit on the bubble despite a solid Fenwick tied, thanks to being outscored at five-on-five.
0.945
Maple_leafs_medium 9
10
The Maple Leafs sit 23rd in Fenwick tied and 13th in 5-on-5 ratio.
0.940
Jets_medium 10
9
Winnipeg is 21st in Fenwick tied and 16th in 5-on-5 ratio. They're not all that different from Toronto, really.
0.896
Senators_medium 11
11
The Senators have a higher Fenwick tied than both Winnipeg and Toronto, but a lower 5-on-5 ratio.
0.852
Devils_medium 12
13
New Jersey has the 9th highest Fenwick tied, but are 25th in goal ratio.
0.817
Lightning_medium 13
12
The Lightning have a Fenwick tied ratio nearly identical to the Rangers. But they don't have Henrik Lundqvist.
0.799
Islanders_medium 14 14 New York continues to disappoint, with the league-worst five-on-five goal ratio.
0.785
Hurricanes_medium 15 15 The Hurricanes gave up 14 goals in three games last week, but still managed to win one.
0.742

 

Western Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Red_wings_medium 1 1
The Red Wings continue their amazing play, with the 2nd best 5-on-5 ratio, 3rd highest Fenwick tied, and most regulation wins.
1.263
Blues_medium 2 2 St. Louis is not far behind Detroit, actually. They have the 3rd best 5-on-5 ratio, 4th highest Fenwick tied, and most regulation wins.
1.222
Sharks_medium 3
3
The Sharks are 10th in Fenwick tied but 4th in 5-on-5 ratio. Good team, but not as good as Detroit and St. Louis.
1.093
Canucks_medium 4
4
Vancouver went 2-0-1, continuing their run to the top of the standings.
1.058
Blackhawks_medium 5
5
The Blackhawks continue to struggle with goaltending, getting outscored at 5-on-5 despite the second best Fenwick tied ratio.
0.992
Oilers_medium 6
7
Edmonton sits 8th in both Fenwick tied and 5-on-5 ratio. Is it time to start believing in them?
0.986
Wild_medium 7
9
The Wild move up again this week, giving up four goals in three road wins.
0.976
Coyotes_medium 8
6
Phoenix falls after going 1-2-1 last week, but they still are positive in both 5-on-5 ratio and Fenwick tied.
0.968
Flames_medium 9
11
The Flames move up thanks to the Stars fall, but they're still rather mediocre.
0.927
Stars_medium 10
8
Dallas went 1-1 last week, falling two spots.
0.919
Kings_medium 11
10
The Kings might fire their coach, which would probably not be a bad idea. There's too much talent there.
0.868
Predators_medium 12
12
Nashville is 26th in 5-on-5 ratio and 28th in Fenwick tied. Trouble in the south still.
0.830
Avalanche_medium 13
13
The Avalanche are struggling to outscore their opposition despite near even Fenwick tied ratio.
0.781
Blue_jackets_medium 14
14
Columbus has the 24th best 5-on-5 ratio, but the 12th best Fenwick tied.
0.777
Ducks_medium 15 15 The Ducks beat the Kings last week. It was their only win as they continue to struggle.
0.708

Continue

NHL Power Rankings Week 8: Very Little Movement, But That Will Change

This week, no team moved more than two spots in the rankings. In the East, Ottawa moved up two spots while everyone else either went up one or down one. In the West, Vancouver and Minnesota moved up two, while everyone else either went up one or down one.

But a lot of teams are still waiting for the percentages to even out, so expect movement soon. Even if it's only in the official standings.

The new formula still includes adjusted points per game (regulation wins count for two while games going to overtime count for one) and five-on-five goal ratio, but it now includes the fenwick tied percentages. All three are weighted to give more importance to Fenwick tied, then to five-on-five ratio, and lastly to adjusted points per game.

Here we go:

Eastern Conference

This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Bruins_medium 1 1 The Bruins retake the top spot in the NHL from St. Louis, largely thanks to their league-leading 1.77 five-on-five ratio. 
1.274
Rangers_medium 2 2
New York continues to sit in second place despite the 26th best Fenwick tied ratio. Beware a fall.
1.100
Flyers_medium 3 3
The Flyers continue to win despite the 19th best Fenwick tied, boosted by the 6th best five-on-five ratio.
1.047
Penguins_medium 4
5
Pittsburgh is 5th in the league in Fenwick tied, but they are only barely outscoring the opposition at 5-on-5.
1.020
Panthers_medium 5
4
The Panthers are breaking even at 5-on-5, but they're 8th in the league in Fenwick tied. A surprisingly solid team.
0.991
Sabres_medium 6
6
Buffalo sits 22nd in Fenwick tied but has the 7th highest 5-on-5 ratio. What separates them from Philly? Three fewer regulation wins.
0.969
Canadiens_medium 7
8
The Canadiens are 8th in 5-on-5 ratio (notice a trend yet?) and 11th in Fenwick tied. But they've lost five games after regulation, bringing them down.
0.964
Capitals_medium 8
7
Washington is an interesting case. They're 6th in Fenwick tied but losing the 5-on-5 goal battle. Normally, this is bad luck, but maybe they aren't generating chances.
0.940
Jets_medium 9
10
The Jets are barely outscoring the opposition at even strength and are 23rd in Fenwick tied.
0.908
Maple_leafs_medium 10
9
Toronto has fallen quite a bit, ranking 25th in Fenwick tied and 18th in goal ratio. Are they still a playoff team?
0.903
Senators_medium 11
13
The Senators make a move this week despite going 1-1-1. They rank 16th in Fenwick tied but aren't winning the goal battle.
0.845
Lightning_medium 12
11
Tampa Bay  is just below the Rangers in Fenwick tied, but they are getting outscored at 5-on-5. Add both up and you have a bad team.
0.835
Devils_medium 13
12
The Devils are tenth in Fenwick tied but 25th in five-on-five goal ratio. They're better than this.
0.810
Islanders_medium 14 15 New York is no longer in the basement! But really, not much separates them from Carolina.
0.772
Hurricanes_medium 15 14 The Hurricanes drop to the bottom, but they aren't much worse than the Isle.
0.745

 

Western Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Red_wings_medium 1 2
The Red Wings are third in both Fenwick tied and 5-on-5 goal ratio. Remember when people were making lists for why they might be finished? Yeah, oops.
1.206
Blues_medium 2 1 St. Louis continues their strong play - started before Ken Hitchcock was hired - as expected, ranking second in 5-on-5 ratio and fourth in Fenwick tied.
1.194
Sharks_medium 3
3
The Sharks are 12th in Fenwick tied but fourth in goal ratio. Solid team, not challenging for the top team in the West though.
1.070
Canucks_medium 4
6
Vancouver is 5-1-0 in their last six, and with the league-leading Fenwick tied ratio, they're moving up. Watch out.
1.045
Blackhawks_medium 5
4
The Blackhawks are second in the league in Fenwick tied but are still getting outscored at 5-on-5. They are better than they appear.
0.993
Coyotes_medium 6
5
Phoenix is 15th in Fenwick tied and 11th in goal ratio. Playoff team again, but they aren't scaring many.
0.987
Oilers_medium 7
7
The Oilers continue to impress with the 7th best Fenwick tied and the 10th best 5-on-5 ratio. They just aren't winning enough games in regulation.
0.984
Stars_medium 8
8
Dallas is just below even in Fenwick tied and five-on-five ratio, putting them square in the middle of the league.
0.943
Wild_medium 9
11
The Wild continue to sit atop the NHL standings despite the 12th best five-on-five ratio and worst Fenwick tied. Going 10-2-3 in one-goal games sure helps, but won't last.
0.940
Kings_medium 10
9
Los Angeles continues to be below average, ranking 17th in Fenwick tied and 20th in five-on-five goal ratio.
0.930
Flames_medium 11
10
The Flames keep having closed-door meetings, but ranking 20th in Fenwick tied and 16th in five-on-five ratio means they aren't going far.
0.894
Predators_medium 12
12
Nashville is off to a poor start. They're 28th in Fenwick tied and 22nd in five-on-five ratio. There's trouble in Trotz-ville.
0.873
Avalanche_medium 13
14
The Avalanche are 14th in Fenwick tied but they just aren't outscoring their opponents. Something will change.
0.817
Blue_jackets_medium 14
13
Columbus isn't too difference from Colorado except for points. They rank 14th and 15th in Fenwick tied and 27th and 26th in five-on-five ratio, but are separated by ten points in the standings.
0.755
Ducks_medium 15 15 The Ducks continue to be one of the worst teams in the NHL, ranking 29th in both Fenwick tied and five-on-five ratio. They just have no depth.
0.697

Continue

NHL Power Rankings Week 6: New Formula Brings New Leaders

This week, Hawerchuk of Arctic Ice Hockey introduced Fenwick data on his behindthenet.ca site. As a refresher, Fenwick looks at goals, saves, and missed shots and represents them as a percentage of events in favor of the team. Limiting it to tied situations eliminates score effects apparent when teams sit on a lead.

This is a huge deal as Fenwick tied data has a large predictive correlation with future goal ratio. So with that, our power rankings formula gets a makeover.

The new formula still includes adjusted points per game (regulation wins count for two while games going to overtime count for one) and five-on-five goal ratio, but it now includes the fenwick tied percentages. All three are weighted to give more importance to Fenwick tied, then to five-on-five ratio, and lastly to adjusted points per game.

Here we go:

Eastern Conference

This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Bruins_medium 1 4 The Bruins are first in the NHL thanks largely to their league-leading 1.81 five-on-five ratio. They are 8th in FenTied
1.255
Flyers_medium 2 3
Philadelphia moves up thanks to being 1st in the league in adjusted points per game. Their 23rd best FenTied is troublesome, however.
1.079
Canadiens_medium 3 6
The Canadiens are 5th in five-on-five ratio and 11th in FenTied. The wins will come for them.
1.047
Panthers_medium 4
8
Florida may be a surprise here, but they are 5th in the league in FenTied and tied for 9th in adjusted points per game. They look like a legit playoff team.
1.036
Rangers_medium 5
2
The Rangers are one of the teams who lose with the new system thanks to the 26th best FenTied.
1.026
Capitals_medium 6
1
Washington also falls, but not because of the new formula. They are tied for 3rd in FenTied, but are 13th in five-on-five ratio.
1.016
Sabres_medium 7
5
The Sabres rank 21st in FenTied, suggesting they are due for a fall.
0.981
Maple_leafs_medium 8
7
Toronto is definition of mediocre. They are 18th in FenTied, 16th in five-on-five ratio, and 20th in adjusted points per game.
0.930
Penguins_medium 9
9
The Penguins are 6th in the league in FenTied and they are getting Sidney Crosby back. Look out.
0.929
Jets_medium 10
11
Winnipeg is slightly below average, really not all that worse than Toronto, but they aren't getting regulation wins.
0.885
Devils_medium 11
12
The Devils are controlling the play, but they aren't scoring or winning in regulation. Interesting case.
0.852
Lightning_medium 12
10
Tampa Bay has a brutal FenTied, ranking 27th in the league. Yet they still get points. Same as last year?
0.847
Senators_medium 13
15
The Senators get out of the basement thanks to the 16th highest FenTied.
0.825
Hurricanes_medium 14 13 Carolina has a terrible 0.69 five-on-five ratio and looks to be finding a spot in the bottom.
0.754
Islanders_medium 15 14 The Islanders got off to such a promising start, and still have the 22nd best FenTied, but they aren't scoring or getting points.
0.742

 

Western Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Blues_medium 1 2
The Blues reach the top of the power rankings thanks to the best 5-on-5 ratio and the second best FenTied.
1.230
Red_wings_medium 2 1 Detroit isn't far behind St. Louis, now they just need to get their special teams going.
1.185
Sharks_medium 3
7
The Sharks are 12th in FenTied, but are getting a lot of points and have a good 5-on-5 ratio. They may not be as good as they look, but they're still good.
1.165
Coyotes_medium 4
5
Phoenix is still going strong with the 9th best FenTied.
1.048
Wild_medium 5
6
The Wild have the worst FenTied in the entire league, but they have the sixth best 5-on-5 ratio. They should fall soon.
1.007
Blackhawks_medium 6
3
Chicago is the opposite of Minnesota. They have the 4th best FenTied but the 15th best five-on-five ratio. They'll improve.
1.005
Predators_medium 7
8
The Predators moved up despite having the 3rd worst FenTied in the league. They continue to get points despite getting severely outshot.
0.992
Kings_medium 8
9
Los Angeles is slightly below the middle of the pack, joining Toronto as the definition of mediocre.
0.933
Oilers_medium 9
10
The Oilers aren't as good as they looked earlier, but they are no longer the laughing stock of the league, sitting 17th in FenTied.
0.929
Flames_medium 10
11
Calgary, Ottawa, and Edmonton are all fairly similar, but Calgary is getting better shooting luck.
0.926
Stars_medium 11
4
The Stars are the biggest loser here, partly because of their 25th best FenTied, but they were going to fall regardless due to their luck starting to run out.
0.892
Canucks_medium 12
12
Vancouver has the 7th best FenTied, so they should improve as their shooting luck gets better.
0.886
Avalanche_medium 13
13
The Avalanche have the 13th best FenTied, but a horrible 5-on-5 ratio and adjusted points per game marks. Who is this team?
0.776
Blue_jackets_medium 14
15
Columbus gets out of the basement! Their 14th best FenTied pulled them up.
0.713
Ducks_medium 15 14 The Ducks become the basement tenants thanks to being 29th in FenTied, 30th in five-on-five ratio, and 29th in adjusted points per game.
0.691

Continue

NHL Power Rankings Week 4: Some Teams Are Still Defying the Odds

This week, the biggest movers the Wild, Bruins, and Rangers were while the Kings, Sharks, and Senators fell the farthest.

The formula looks at non-shootout win point totals per game, and multiplies that by five-on-five goal ratio. The numbers end up between 0 and 2 normally, but in the early season, those numbers are highly volatile.

Here we go:

Eastern Conference

This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Capitals_medium 1 1 The Capitals remain atop the standings for the third straight week despite losing to the Islanders in regulation and needing OT to beat Anaheim.
1.998
Maple_leafs_medium 2 3
Toronto moved up a spot as two road wins against weak teams (NJ and CBJ) made up for the 7-0 loss at home to Boston.
1.633
Sabres_medium 3 2
The Sabres dropped one spot after averaging 2 GF and 2 GA in their three games last week. Not surprising, they went 1-1-1.
1.581
Flyers_medium 4
4
Philadelphia is holding firm to that fourth spot, tied for 12th in the league in 5-on-5 ratio and tied for 4th in adjusted points per game.
1.440
Rangers_medium 5
10
The Rangers made a big jump this week, going 3-0-1 on a four-game home stand. Their 5-on-5 ratio is 15th best, though, so more improvement is needed.
1.292
Canadiens_medium 6
5
Montreal is tied for 6th in the league in 5-on-5 ratio, but only has five regulation wins in 13 tries.
1.154
Penguins_medium 7
6
The Penguins have a worse 5-on-5 ratio than two-thirds of the league (21st in the NHL) but keep finding ways to win. Two more shootout games for them last week, splitting them.
1.068
Lightning_medium 8
7
Tampa Bay didn't get a single regulation win last week, but did win in OT and SO, only mildly dropped from last week.
1.039
Bruins_medium 9
15
The Bruins are hoping that their 7-0 win in Toronto revives their season. They are now tied for the 6th best 5-on-5 ratio in the NHL, they just need points.
0.938
Panthers_medium 10
9
Florida was home for three games last week and went to a SO in all of them. They lost all three.
0.883
Hurricanes_medium 11
8
The Hurricanes gave up 5 goals in back-to-back games and currently has a 5-on-5 ratio in between Columbus and New Jersey. Not a good sign.
0.740
Jets_medium 12
12
Winnipeg went on the road last week for four games and took two to OT. They went 1-1-2, maintaining their position above the East's scrap heap.
0.731
Islanders_medium 13
13
The Islanders were shutout by Winnipeg before putting 5 goals on Washington. Strange.
0.709
Devils_medium 14 14 New Jersey sits with the 28th best 5-on-5 ratio and the 24th best power play. At least their PK is 3rd in the league.
0.583
Senators_medium 15 11 The Senators dropped to last in the East behind an 0-2-1 week, but the bigger problem is their NHL-worst 5-on-5 ratio. Bad news in Ottawa.
0.512

 

Western Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Stars_medium 1 2
The Stars take the top spot in the West after a 7-6 OT win over Colorado and a 5-2 win over Carolina.
1.842
Oilers_medium 2 3 Edmonton has the second best 5-on-5 ratio in the NHL, largely due to only giving up 1.54 goals against per game. That can't last.
1.805
Wild_medium 3
12
The Wild were this week's biggest winner, going 2-0-1 and only giving up one goal in each game. They are the only other team giving up under two goals per game.
1.442
Blackhawks_medium 4
5
Chicago finds themselves with the 11st best 5-on-5 ratio in the League and 9th best adjusted points per game. Solid team in Chicago.
1.384
Predators_medium 5
7
The Predators went 1-0-2 on the road last week, but still moved up due to surpassing San Jose in adjusted points per game.
1.354
Sharks_medium 6
1
San Jose went 0-1-2, falling all the way from 2nd in the power rankings to 10th, right where their 5-on-5 ratio is.
1.322
Coyotes_medium 7
6
The Coyotes have somehow managed to take the 16th best 5-on-5 ratio and turn it into the 6th best points per game mark.
1.280
Red_wings_medium 8
8
Detroit continues to tread water, thanks to a 5-0 blowout of Anaheim after only scoring 1 goal in each of their previous two games and 6 goals in their last 6 games.
1.213
Blues_medium 9
10
The Blues have the 6th best 5-on-5 ratio in the League and a new head coach. With 30th ranked PP and 27th ranked PK, maybe their problem was with their assistants.
1.154
Kings_medium 10
4
Los Angeles took a stumble, getting shutout by Edmonton and beat in a SO by Pittsburgh. An even 5-on-5 ratio doesn't speak highly of LA.
1.154
Flames_medium 11
9
The Flames went 2-2 last week, scoring one goal in both losses. They have an even 5-on-5 ratio and an adjusted points per game mark of 1.
1.000
Canucks_medium 12
11
Vancouver is still languishing at the bottom tanks to the 24th best 5-on-5 ratio in the NHL. They can score, but right now they aren't preventing goals.
0.790
Avalanche_medium 13
13
The Avalanche may have as many points as Vancouver, but they only have 4 regulation wins. Sitting in 9th place in the Conference is a mirage.
0.694
Ducks_medium 14
14
Anaheim went 0-1-2 last week, has the 29th highest 5-on-5 ratio in the NHL, and the 30th highest goals per game. The Ducks need offense.
0.583
Blue_jackets_medium 15 15 The Blue Jackets continue to be the bottom of the NHL, with the most goals against per game, 29th ranked PP, 26th most goals per game, 26th highest 5-on-5 ratio, and 28th ranked PK.
0.275

Continue

NHL Power Rankings Week 3: Maybe Edmonton v. Washington Was the Game of the Week

This week, the biggest movers were Edmonton, Montreal, and Nashville while Detroit, the Rangers, and Canucks fell the farthest.

The formula looks at non-shootout win point totals per game, and multiplies that by five-on-five goal ratio. The numbers end up between 0 and 2 normally, but in the early season, those numbers are highly volatile.

Here we go:

Eastern Conference

This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Capitals_medium 1 1 The Capitals lost both games in regulation last week but still maintain the top spot in the entire NHL here.
2.369
Sabres_medium 2 2 Buffalo stays in the number two spot despite going 1-2 last week in three home games. The third-best 5-on-5 ratio in the NHL helps.
1.716
Maple_leafs_medium 3 3 The Maple Leafs hold steady with a 2-2 week, though they can't be happy with a loss in Ottawa.
1.693
Flyers_medium 4
4
Philadelphia rounds out the top-4 staying the same with a 2-2 week despite Ilya Bryzgalov being "lost in the woods" for a day.
1.229
Canadiens_medium 5
11
The Canadiens made a big jump by going 3-1, only giving up six goals. They now have four regulation wins on the year.
1.127
Penguins_medium 6
7
Pittsburgh moved up despite only winning one regulation game last week. A negative 5-on-5 ratio doesn't bode well going forward.
1.120
Lightning_medium 7
6
The Lightning fell slightly, but their 5-on-5 ratio is even. If only they can get Steve Downie (1 goal, 1 assist) going.
1.091
Hurricanes_medium 8
8
Carolina is staying afloat, even with Eric Staal having 3 goals and 2 assists. But his minus-13 is dragged down by a 0.842 on-ice save percentage.
0.860
Panthers_medium 9
10
The Panthers played three one-goal games last week, winning two of them. Still losing the 5-on-5 battle by a good bit though.
0.825
Rangers_medium 10
5
New York is a big loser this week thanks to going 1-1-1 and seeing their 5-on-5 ratio fall to 24th best in the league.
0.790
Senators_medium 11
15
The Senators have the second worst 5-on-5 ratio, but they jump to 11th thanks to their success in getting to OT.
0.623
Jets_medium 12
13
Winnipeg only has three wins on the year, but they have a relatively decent 5-on-5 ratio, putting them above NJ and NYI.
0.609
Islanders_medium 13
9
The Islanders have the worst 5-on-5 ratio in the league and only three regulation wins. It's a shame, I was excited for them.
0.596
Devils_medium 14 14 New Jersey is one of three teams with only two regulation wins and they have the worst 5-on-5 ratio of the group. But they have three OT games, so they're 28th here.
0.560
Bruins_medium 15 12 The Bruins avoid dead last in the NHL because they have as many adjusted points as Columbus in fewer games. Still a decent (21st best) 5-on-5 ratio though.
0.440

 

Western Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Sharks_medium 1 5 The Sharks climb all the way to the top of the West behind two regulation wins and an OT win. The best 5-on-5 ratio in the NHL helps too.
2.041
Stars_medium 2 3 Dallas moves up to the number 2 spot despite going 1-1-1 in regulation last week. The NHL's fifth best 5-on-5 ratio is a big reason why.
1.642
Oilers_medium 3
12
The Oilers are the biggest winners of the week, going 4-0 and outscoring their opponents 12-6. Only Pittsburgh has more adjusted points than Edmonton.
1.609
Kings_medium 4
1
Los Angeles crashed quickly, going 1-2-1 last week. They're still tied for third in adjusted points with a good 5-on-5 ratio.
1.451
Blackhawks_medium 5
4
The Blackhawks went 1-1-1 last week and still have Dave Bolland leading them in goals. Pretty impressive when you think about it.
1.443
Coyotes_medium 6
8
Phoenix is only one point behind the Blackhawks in the adjusted standings, but the 13th best 5-on-5 ratio is what provides the gap here.
1.260
Predators_medium 7
13
The Predators went 2-1 last week, making a big jump up the board. Having Craig Smith lead the team in goals (tied with Sergei Kostitsyn) is a minor problem.
1.177
Red_wings_medium 8
2
Detroit was the big loser this week, getting outscored 9-3 in three regulation losses last week. They now look decidedly average.
1.111
Flames_medium 9
14
The Flames look decent this year as they sit 12th in 5-on-5 ratio and 16th in adjusted points per game. And Jarome Iginla only has 2 goals and 4 points in 9 games.
1.070
Blues_medium 10
6
St. Louis went 1-2 across Western Canada last week, only being outscored 7-6. Lets see f they maintain the eighth best 5-on-5 ratio in the NHL.
1.064
Canucks_medium 11
7
The Canucks went 1-2 last week, finding some 3rd period magic against Washington to salvage their week.
0.910
Wild_medium 12
10
Minnesota only has two regulation wins despite an even 5-on-5 ratio. Being in the bottom-5 in both power play and penalty kill will do that.
0.900
Avalanche_medium 13
9
The Avalanche went 1-2 last week and are tied with the Rangers here.
0.790
Ducks_medium 14
11
Anaheim is tied for 27th in 5-on-5 ratio and went 1-2-1 on the road last week. They stay on the road this week, going to Washington, Rangers, and Detroit.
0.682
Blue_jackets_medium 15 15 The Blue Jackets remain in last place in the NHL, despite the 18th best 5-on-5 ratio and a decent 2-2-0 week. Specials teams are killing them, though. Oh, and Steve Mason too.
0.396

Continue
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