NHL Power Rankings Week 24: Playoff Probabilities Are Here

This week,the playoff picture starts taking shape. Teams have clinched, others have been eliminated, and others are close. Biggest winners are San Jose and Nashville.

 

Eastern Conference

This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Bruins_medium 1 1 The Bruins have clinched and are 70% likely to end in 3rd place.
1.769
Flyers_medium 2 2 Philadelphia is now 84% likely to win the East after beating Pittsburgh on Tuesday.
1.615
Capitals_medium 3 3 The Capitals are 63% likely to finish in 2nd place.
1.345
Penguins_medium 4
4
Pittsburgh clinched a playoff spot and are hoping Sidney Crosby can return for the playoffs.
1.271
Sabres_medium 5
6
The Sabres move up a spot here despite remaining in 8th place. However, they are 74% likely to make the playoffs.
1.189
Rangers_medium 6
7
New York is in 7th right now, but they are more likely to finish 6th due to their game in hand and tie-breaker advantage.
1.175
Canadiens_medium 7
5
The Canadiens are slipping, in jeopardy of falling into 7th place.
1.173
Lightning_medium 8
8
Tampa Bay is only 2 points away from clinching a playoff spot, but they still have a negative goal differential.
1.110
Hurricanes_medium 9
9
The Hurricanes are now 3 points out with only 6 games to play, leaving them only 28% likely to make the playoffs.
0.952
Maple_leafs_medium 10
10
Toronto is 5 points out with 5 games left, leaving them with only a 1% chance of making the playoffs.
0.928
Thrashers_medium 11
11
The Thrashers are clinging to a less than 1% chance of the playoffs even though they are .500
0.813
Panthers_medium 12
13
Florida has already been eliminated, despite playing well through half the year.
0.754
Devils_medium 13
14
The Devils still have yet to be eliminated, but they will be very soon.
0.719
Islanders_medium 14 12 New York is eliminated.
0.695
Senators_medium 15 15 The Senators are eliminated.
0.609

 

Western Conference


This Week Last Week Rationale
Rating
Canucks_medium 1 1 The Canucks are all but locks for the Presidents' Trophy.
1.793
Coyotes_medium 2 2 Phoenix has a 50% chance of finishing 4th or 5th, but unfortunately, they're 28% likely to miss home ice advantage.
1.350
Sharks_medium 3
5
The Sharks are in third, one point behind Detroit, but also trailing in the tiebreaker.
1.332
Red_wings_medium 4
4
Detroit is 59% likely to finish 2nd, but San Jose is right behind them.
1.311
Predators_medium 5
7
The Predators sit in 6th, just as likely to finish 7th.
1.296
Blackhawks_medium 6
3
Chicago plummets here but they still have a 76% chance of making the playoffs. Where they finish is still a guess.
1.286
Kings_medium 7
7
The Kings sit in 5th place with a 39% chance of finishing 4th.
1.230
Stars_medium 8
8
Dallas is only 3 points back with a game in hand, but they only have a 35% chance to make the playoffs.
1.126
Flames_medium 9
9
The Flames are only 12% likely to make the playoffs as they are 3 points out with one fewer game to play.
1.074
Ducks_medium 10
10
Anaheim is in 7th with an 87% chance to make the playoffs despite a minus-2 goal differential.
1.019
Blues_medium 11
13
The Blues move up here despite being eliminated from the playoffs.
0.925
Blue_jackets_medium 12
12
Columbus is eleven points out with 6 games to play. They're done.
0.896
Wild_medium 13
12
The Wild are ten points out with 6 games to play. They're done.
0.861
Avalanche_medium 14
14
Colorado is officially eliminated.
0.692
Oilers_medium 15 15 The Oilers are officially eliminated.
0.550

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