Two weeks of the NFL season are in the books and in a lot of ways things are even more confusing. Pittsburgh isn't as bad they looked in week one, but then again Baltimore doesn't appear to be a good as they looked. About the only teams you can trust from a betting standpoint in this early part of the season have been the Patriots and Lions, but for this week's picks, that could change.
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills (+9) - The Bills are the highest scoring offense in the NFL after two weeks. The Pats are the second highest. So chances are this should be a high scoring affair, but I like the Bills at home to keep up with the Pats. I don't know that they can win this game, but I think they can keep it within 9. Pick: Bills
San Francisco 49ers at Cincinnati Bengals (-3) - Andy Dalton is off to a better than expected start in Cincy and the Bengals aren't as bad as everyone expected as a result. I think they absolutely can beat the Niners by more than a FG at home. Pick: Bengals
Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns (-1.5) - The Dolphins were so much better on the road than at home last year and actually so far their offense has looked pretty capable. I like them in an upset here. Pick: Dolphins
Denver Broncos at Tennessee Titans (-6.5) -This line surprised me a bit. I know the Broncos don't inspire confidence, but why would the Titans? Yes they got a nice win over Baltimore last week, but they were still beaten by the Jags in week one. That said, I do like the Titans in this game, but it might be one to steer clear of. Pick: Titans
Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings (+3.5) -The only surprise is here is how the low the line is. The Lions are firing on all cylinders and the Vikings have blown two straight first half leads. Pick: Lions
Houston Texans at New Orleans Saints (-4) -I think the Texans might be getting too much respect here. They have played well, but I can't see them going into the Superdome and keeping this within a TD. Pick: Saints
New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles - No line. It's all about whether Michael VIck can play. If so, the Eagles should be healthy favorites.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Carolina Panthers (- 3.5) - The Jags announced that Blaine Gabbert will get his first career start this weekend after the abomination of a performance Luke McCown put on last week against the Jets. Gabbert will face the only QB taken ahead of him in the draft this past year, Cam Newton. I think the Panthers win this easy. Pick: Panthers
New York Jets at Oakland Raiders (+3.5) - It should be interesting to see the Jets on the road this week after two home wins the start the year. This trip out west should tell us a lot about them. The Raiders are a scrappy team and probably better than a lot of people give them credit for, but I'm going to ride the Jets until they show me I should do otherwise. Pick: Jets
Baltimore Ravens at St Louis Rams (+4) - The Ravens had a big letdown last week on the road against the Titans, which probably explains why this line is low. The Rams have been killed by injuries, blown out the first two weeks of the season and just haven't been the team a lot of people expected them to be this season. They do have a brutal schedule to start the year and I think that continues this week. Pick Ravens
Kansas City Chiefs at San Diego Chargers (+14.5) - It's amazing how far the Chiefs have fallen. This team won the AFC West last year and now in week three they're more than two TDs underdogs. The Chargers haven't exactly turned in a vintage performance yet this season, but this could be their chance to really show off. Start every Charger on your fantasy team this week... Pick: Chargers
Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears (+3.5) - The Bears have had a rough schedule to start the year with three straight 2010 playoff teams. They beat the Falcons soundly at home, but got beat convincingly on the road by the Saints. This week is another real test at home against the Packers, who actually didn't look great on the road against the Panthers last week and lost Nick Collins for the year. This is a tough game to pick, so I'm just going to play it safe. Pick: Packers
Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks (+3.5) - I actually love the Cardinals in this game. Seattle is a very tough place to play, but they've been terrible this year and Arizona has at least show that it can score points. Pick: Cardinals
Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1.5) -The Falcons haven't been terribly impressive over the first two weeks and are better at home than on the road. The Bucs lost their first home game, but came back to win at Minnesota last week. Matt Ryan has been limited in practice after getting beat up on Sunday night... The Bucs have some things going for them here, but the historical trends actually favor the Falcons. Teams like the Falcons have actually won 56-60% of these games based on a few different models. Pick: Falcons
Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts (+9.5) - At this point, why wouldn't the Steelers cover this spread? They covered 15.5 last week and the Colts might even be worse than the Seahawks. Pick: Stillers
Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys - No line. Without word yet on whether Tony Romo will play there's no line on this game.