This week,the playoff picture starts taking shape. Teams have clinched, others have been eliminated, and others are close. Biggest winners are San Jose and Nashville.
Eastern Conference
| This Week | Last Week |
Rationale | Rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 1 | The Bruins have clinched and are 70% likely to end in 3rd place. |
1.769 |
 |
2 | 2 | Philadelphia is now 84% likely to win the East after beating Pittsburgh on Tuesday. |
1.615 |
 |
3 | 3 | The Capitals are 63% likely to finish in 2nd place. |
1.345 |
 |
4 |
4 |
Pittsburgh clinched a playoff spot and are hoping Sidney Crosby can return for the playoffs. |
1.271 |
 |
5 |
6 |
The Sabres move up a spot here despite remaining in 8th place. However, they are 74% likely to make the playoffs. |
1.189 |
 |
6 |
7 |
New York is in 7th right now, but they are more likely to finish 6th due to their game in hand and tie-breaker advantage. |
1.175 |
 |
7 |
5 |
The Canadiens are slipping, in jeopardy of falling into 7th place. |
1.173 |
 |
8 |
8 |
Tampa Bay is only 2 points away from clinching a playoff spot, but they still have a negative goal differential. |
1.110 |
 |
9 |
9 |
The Hurricanes are now 3 points out with only 6 games to play, leaving them only 28% likely to make the playoffs. |
0.952 |
 |
10 |
10 |
Toronto is 5 points out with 5 games left, leaving them with only a 1% chance of making the playoffs. |
0.928 |
 |
11 |
11 |
The Thrashers are clinging to a less than 1% chance of the playoffs even though they are .500 |
0.813 |
 |
12 |
13 |
Florida has already been eliminated, despite playing well through half the year. |
0.754 |
 |
13 |
14 |
The Devils still have yet to be eliminated, but they will be very soon. |
0.719 |
|
14 | 12 | New York is eliminated. |
0.695 |
|
15 | 15 | The Senators are eliminated. |
0.609 |
Western Conference
| This Week | Last Week |
Rationale | Rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 1 | The Canucks are all but locks for the Presidents' Trophy. |
1.793 |
 |
2 | 2 | Phoenix has a 50% chance of finishing 4th or 5th, but unfortunately, they're 28% likely to miss home ice advantage. |
1.350 |
 |
3 |
5 |
The Sharks are in third, one point behind Detroit, but also trailing in the tiebreaker. |
1.332 |
 |
4 |
4 |
Detroit is 59% likely to finish 2nd, but San Jose is right behind them. |
1.311 |
 |
5 |
7 |
The Predators sit in 6th, just as likely to finish 7th. |
1.296 |
 |
6 |
3 |
Chicago plummets here but they still have a 76% chance of making the playoffs. Where they finish is still a guess. |
1.286 |
 |
7 |
7 |
The Kings sit in 5th place with a 39% chance of finishing 4th. |
1.230 |
 |
8 |
8 |
Dallas is only 3 points back with a game in hand, but they only have a 35% chance to make the playoffs. |
1.126 |
 |
9 |
9 |
The Flames are only 12% likely to make the playoffs as they are 3 points out with one fewer game to play. |
1.074 |
 |
10 |
10 |
Anaheim is in 7th with an 87% chance to make the playoffs despite a minus-2 goal differential. |
1.019 |
|
11 |
13 |
The Blues move up here despite being eliminated from the playoffs. |
0.925 |
 |
12 |
12 |
Columbus is eleven points out with 6 games to play. They're done. |
0.896 |
 |
13 |
12 |
The Wild are ten points out with 6 games to play. They're done. |
0.861 |
 |
14 |
14 |
Colorado is officially eliminated. |
0.692 |
 |
15 | 15 | The Oilers are officially eliminated. |
0.550 |